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Wednesday, 31 January 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
Days before the celebrations of the Lunar New Year, the dry bulk market seems to be holding well, against negative predictions. Period numbers reported are close to last done levels and despite the pressure in the beginning of the month, the spot market also seems to be resisting a further drop during the past week. All this has helped S&P activity to stay rather strong during a time when Buyers traditionally remain on the sidelines.
But even if 2018 ends up being a good year overall for the dry bulk market or even better than 2017; how long can this last?
Don't get me wrong, I am not expecting a collapse or a blood bath. After the lengthy period during which the massive orderbook had been casting a shadow over earnings and chocking any efforts for recovery, the market seems to have finally started reaching a balance and by this I mean that we are finally heading towards a cyclical behavior of transparent highs and lows.
Now in regards to the duration of those ups and downs, this is yet to be seen but nonetheless a more predictable or at least foreseeable market is something that ship owners, charterers and yards would love to experience again after many years of uncertainty.
We have witnessed rather short cycles in the tanker market with highs and lows being fully developed in a span of 34-44 months. But as far as tankers are concerned, we have also seen a solid differentiation between the crude and product market. It is not wrong to even talk about two different markets instead of unifying them under a single tanker market.
The shorter cycles have caused shrinkage of the duration of any windows for buying low or selling high. It is not unreasonable to expect that the dry bulk market will eventually start to show similar patterns if the aforementioned balance occurs.
It is hard to say if any specific dry bulk size segments that are highly dependable on very specific/limited number of cargoes will form sub-markets that will affect respectively asset values independently from the course of the sector as a whole as it has been the case for tankers. For example product cargo vessels have retained a more stable residual value (especially in the case of assets younger than 11 years) compared the crude carrying ships whose values appeared to be way more volatile.
But this it not the main concern or question of this insight. The main point is that a return to a more cyclical market will indeed require better reflexes on behalf of investors when it comes to placing money into either second hand or newbuilding assets.
This will put pressure to investors to have cash or finance easily accessible when opportunities arise. How will this influence the overall ship-owing land scape is yet to be seen. All of the above is pure speculation. For what is worth, we might be in the doorstep of another super cycle that will last more than 4 years. Time will tell.
By Timos Papadimitriou
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 01 February 18
RISING US OIL EXPORTS, MARKET DISRUPTION, BRENT-WTI SPREAD - WOOD MACKENZIE
What will US tight oil growth do to crude markets? The build-up in volumes early this decade led to a supply glut that undermined prices in 2014.
...
Monday, 29 January 18
BALTIC INDEX GAINS ON STRONGER BIG VESSEL ACTIVITY
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week and ending on a positive note week ov ...
Monday, 29 January 18
U.S.WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT UP 8.7% W/W - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 14.6 million short tons ...
Wednesday, 24 January 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
Since the beginning of the New Year we have been witnessing the BDI correcting downwards, which nonetheless seems to have no effect at ...
Tuesday, 23 January 18
OIL MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
Brent oil futures hit a three year high on January 16th touching around USD 70.30 before falling back down to around USD 68.60 at the Time of this ...
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Showing 1821 to 1825 news of total 6871 |
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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