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Wednesday, 17 January 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As we are now well into the first month of 2018, the mood across the entire offshore industry undeniably remains rather positive following the oil price rally that has now brought the commodity at a three-year high, while the highest monthly average during the same period was achieved during December.
It is now a rather wide market expectation that prices will remain at satisfactory levels in the following months, with $60/barrel currently considered a strong resistance level prices won’t easily go below of. The driving forces of the oil price momentum have been the much publicized OPEC policy – and its most recent extension - the weakening of the USD and of course healthy global oil demand being sustained.
There are also of course those who are less optimistic out there. Their expectations call for a $10-15/barrel correction taking place in the next months, mainly arguing that supply and demand fundamentals do not really support the price the commodity has reached and that the levels of the past month in particular are rather unrealistic.
Oil prices have always been one of the most crucial factors influencing the course of the entire offshore industry and most specifically the offshore drilling activity/gas exploration industry, which in turn shape the fate of all offshore units ranging from oil rigs to PSV and AHTS.
After all, let us not forget that one of the main reasons that the main reason behind offshore units being laid up or sold for scrap or converted as of the end of 2014, was no other than the steady decline of oil prices back then, which eventually laid to the re-consideration and sometimes the cancellation of a number of drilling projects that were upcoming back then.
2017 was undeniably a better year for the offshore drilling market, with both day rates and utilization rates improving – marginally indeed but improving nonetheless. A number of SnP transactions were also recorded as far as oil rigs are concerned and several company acquisitions took place as well, with that of Songa Offshore being acquired by Transocean Ltd being one of the most important. Additionally, more than 60 oil rigs were scrapped or retired, which means that a bit of the oversupply weight has slowly started being lifted during the past months.
Despite the above mentioned improvements and activity, the reality is that the Deepwater drilling market is still dealing with oversupply, far from healthy day rates and a big lack of commitment on behalf of major oil companies as far as long term investment projects are concerned.
Therefore the question that comes to mind is what should we expect for this year. Most of the optimism at this stage is stimulated by South America and more specifically Brazil, where a number of Petrobras tender requests for rigs and offshore units are expected to take place this year, while not very far from Brazil, there are additional optimistic signs coming from countries like Argentina and Peru, where substantial drilling activity/number of projects are expected to come on line/take place in the following years.
Hopefully the above will bring further improvement in the market and lay the ground for truly healthy fundamentals in the next couple of years.
By Panos Makrinos
Offshore Director
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 12 August 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT ENDING AUGUST 6 FELL SLIGHTLY
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.9 million short ton ...
Thursday, 11 August 16
CAPESIZE THE PACIFIC SIDE IS LOOKING MORE POSITIVE, DRIVEN BY AUSTRALIAN IRON ORE - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Rates continue to be under pressure with index ending up with 639 points and average TC value at USD6,680, said Fearnleys. Fearnleys A/S ...
Thursday, 11 August 16
EIA ESTIMATES THE DELIVERED COAL PRICE TO U.S. ELECTRIC UTILITIES IN 2017 AVERAGED $2.24/MMBTU; $0.05/MMBTU HIGHER THAN 2016 ESTIMATES
Coal Supply
U.S. coal production in July was 65 million short tons (MMst), an 8 MMst (14%) increase from the previous month but 11 MMst (15%) low ...
Wednesday, 10 August 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET KEPT SOFTENING LAST WEEK; WE CAN SEE MUCH HEALTHIER NUMBERS STARTING SEPTEMBER
The Dry Bulk market kept softening last week as we have now started going through the traditionally quieter days of the summer season peak period, ...
Wednesday, 10 August 16
THE INDONESIAN DRAFT NEW MINING LAW - AMENDMENTS TO THE 2009 MINING LAW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
COALspot.com: A draft mining law published by Indonesia's Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources provides use ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Coal Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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