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Thursday, 21 December 17
SUPRAMAX: IN THE MOST CHANCE, DO NOT EXPECT ANY DRAMATIC CHANGES IN THE NEAR FUTURE - FEARNLEYS
PanamaxSupramax
Market reducing speed. Rates are dropping further for supras outbound USG on fronth, bkhaul is more stable i.e $25k/22k respectively says Fearnleys in its latest weekly report.

Vessels from Cont via Baltic to SE Asia performed around $15k day. From Cont to SAM supras made ca $10k daily. Scrap cargoes from Cont to Med have concluded around 16k this week. From other side of the basin market has been sideways with bit lower number from last done.

Fearnleys further noted, there are continuous cargo flow 20/25 Dec onward, but the sentiment seems to have more chemistry with forthcoming holiday season. In the most chance, do not expect any dramatic changes in the near future. For 56k, deals have concluded around $7k dop SE Asia, S. China for trip via Indo/China and 6k for trip via Indo/WCI.

Panamax
Commenting on Panamax, Fearnleys says, activity in the Panamax market has slowed down quite substantially the last week. Lack of fresh cargoes in both hemispheres and a growing tonnage list is putting pressure on the freight rates. In the Atlantic region, the TA market has dropped to mid $14k’s, while fronthaul’s are being fixed in the $18 to 19k’s depending on duration. The sentiment in Asia remain soft with a transpacific RV priced at mid 10k’s and the expectations going forward still being negative. Generally, the short-term outlook for the Panamaxes appears to be soft, especially with the upcoming holidays. FFA’s, Jan is trading at low $11k’s, while Q1 is now priced at high $10k’s on the P4TC index.

Capesize
As seasonally expected, the holiday season kicked in and the market suddenly went very quiet. Most cargoes for December have been covered and the January stems have seen a lot of available tonnage.

According to Fearnleys, freight rates on the west Australia/China route have in few days dropped from high $9 pmt to the low USD 8 pmt level. The owners are presently underbidding each other in order to secure employment over the holidays. Brazil/China route also very quiet and the freight levels are coming off. Period rates are still being fixed at healthy levels, with 1 to 1.5 years fixtures concluded at $16,000 level, showing strong confidence in the market for next year.


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