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Wednesday, 15 November 17
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
 For another week, oil seems to be the most volatile and interesting commodity to watch. In this segment we’ll look at some of the major factors affecting the commodity price as a whole.
Brent price closed yesterday at $62.90 down from 64.65 last week, which was the highest level reached since June 2015.
Efforts by OPEC and Russia to cut output by the on-going policy, which is already expected to extend throughout the first quarter of next year as well, have curbed excess supply in an effort to prop up the commodity price and seek and end to the global supply glut which has sent prices plummeting over the past two years.
OPEC has also continually revised its global demand outlook upward since July, noting an expected increase to 33.42m barrels next year. OPEC and other producers will meet again on the 30th of November in Vienna and are expected to agree to a further extension of production possibly for another 9 months up until the end of 2018.
The recent wave of arrests in Saudi Arabia has been touted as a corruption purge. However, seeing as this is also an empowering move for Mohammed bin Salman who has been an outspoken supporter of OPEC’s production cuts past 2018, it further increases the chance of these cuts being extended further.
However, these efforts are being undermined by a 12-month continual increase in US shale oil which has been triggered by the increased price. US Shale production is set to further increase in December by approx. 80,000 barrels, with the US rig number increasing quickly during the past months. Reports have been actually confirming another nine rigs added during the past days, which brings up the total number up to 738 rigs, an increase in excess of 60% compared to twelve months back.
While global stocks are falling for the first time since 2013, we won’t be surprised to see the increase in US and other supplies halting this decline within next year and together also halt the upward path the price of the commodity has followed in the past months.
One of the wild cards to keep an eye on is Venezuela which has been facing various issues in repaying its massive debts. Following a $1.1bn payment on state-oil company PDVSA’s issued bond last week, President Nicolas Maduro announced that this would be the final time it paid its creditors fully and that his intent is to seek a restructuring regarding future debt payments, which is putting Venezuela’s ability to pay its debts altogether into question.
Formally defaulting, could quite conceivably put further stress on the country’s oil output and therefore on the commodity price. Venezuela’s oil production has already been under considerable pressure in the past year, with October marking its lowest production in 28 years, at 1,863m barrels per day.
The aforementioned issues place oil prices in a tenuous, unstable situation. With caution regarding the rising US production, which could possibly result in a price correction, expectations for next year should perhaps be less bullish than what they currently are.
By Linos Kogevinas
Commercial Executive - Cotzias Intermodal Shipping
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 29 November 17
THERMAL COAL MARKETS WERE A LITTLE BIT MORE SUBDUED - DANIEL HYNES, ANZ
Coal prices were stronger, led by gains in coking coal. Premium hard coking coal jumped above USD200/t for the first time in two months, said Danie ...
Wednesday, 29 November 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASILIS MOIRIS
In line with most expectations for the end of this month, during the past days the Dry Bulk market realized a significant rebound that sent the BDI ...
Tuesday, 28 November 17
THE DRY BULK MARKET HAS SHOWN A REMARKABLE RECOVERY THIS YEAR - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
The Dry Bulk market has shown a remarkable recovery this year with the average earnings having increased by around 63% this year so far compared to ...
Friday, 24 November 17
U.S. PRODUCED 14.9 MMST FOR THE WEEK ENDING NOV 18; UP 0.9% W/W - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 14.9 million short ton ...
Thursday, 23 November 17
PANAMAX: ANOTHER SLOW AND UNEVENTFUL WEEK; DECREASING FREIGHT RATES IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
A quiet start to the week. USG closed last week a bit tighter, and continued into the new week on a positive tone with little concluded, ...
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Showing 1866 to 1870 news of total 6871 |
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
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