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Tuesday, 14 November 17
IN 2018, WORLD OIL DEMAND IS FORESEEN REACHING 1.51 MB/D - OPEC
Oil Market Highlights - OPEC
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $55.50/b in October, gaining $2.06 over the previous month and reaching the highest value in more than two-and-a-half years, with a year-to-date average of $50.68/b. Crude futures also reached levels not seen since mid-2015. ICE Brent ended $2.13 higher at $57.65/b, while NYMEX WTI increased $1.72, reaching $51.59/b, keeping the Brent-WTI spread above $6/b. Prices have been supported by rising global demand data and expectations that major producing nations will extend a deal to adjust output and bring the oil market to a balance. Hedge funds raised net long positions in NYMEX WTI and ICE Brent futures and options by 29,456 and 21,592 contracts, respectively, to 281,244 and 530,237 lots. Brent and Dubai remained in backwardation, while the WTI contango eased. Sweet/sour differentials narrowed in Asia and Europe, but widened on the US Gulf Coast.
World Economy
The global economic growth dynamic has continued its momentum, with the forecast for 2017 revised up to 3.7%, from 3.6% in last month’s report. Similarly, the 2018 forecast has been adjusted higher as well to stand at 3.7%, compared to 3.5% in the previous month. Particularly OECD economic growth in 2017 was better than expected so far. The OECD is seen growing by upwardly revised 2.3% in 2017 and 2.2% in 2018. Good momentum – and a potential tax reform – in the US, the ongoing dynamic in the Euro-zone and to some extent in Japan, solid growth in China and India and an improving situation in Russia and Brazil are supporting the growth trend in the short-term.
World Oil Demand
World oil demand growth is expected to rise by 1.53 mb/d in 2017 after an upward adjustment of 74 tb/d to account for the better-than-expected performance of China in 3Q17. In 2018, world oil demand is foreseen reaching 1.51 mb/d, around 130 tb/d higher than in the previous assessment.
World Oil Supply
Non-OPEC oil supply is now projected to grow by 0.65 mb/d y-o-y in 2017, representing a downward revision of 0.02 mb/d from last month’s report. For 2018, growth in non-OPEC oil supply has also been revised down by 0.07 mb/d to stand at 0.87 mb/d. OPEC NGLs and non-conventional liquids are expected to grow by 0.18 mb/d in 2018, following an increase of 0.17 mb/d in 2017. In October 2017, OPEC crude oil production decreased by 151 tb/d, according to secondary sources, to average 32.59 mb/d.
Product Markets and Refining Operations
Product markets in the Atlantic Basin weakened in October due to seasonally-lower gasoline demand following the end of US driving season. Nonetheless, US refining margins have exhibited some improvement y-o-y on the back of firm product demand and amid low stock levels. In Europe, solid middle-of-the-barrel demand offset weakness at the top and bottom. Product markets in Asia also weakened slightly, but remained at healthy levels, supported by the onset of refinery maintenance.
Tanker Market
Sentiment in the dirty tanker market generally strengthened in October, as freight rates for different classes showed improvements on most major trading routes. Average dirty tanker spot freight rates rose 16% compared to the previous month, on the back of improved seasonal tonnage demand, as well as port and weather delays, among other factors. Despite healthy gains in October, the shipping market remains in surplus, capping further increases in spot freight rates. Meanwhile, clean tanker freight rates experienced a relative decline, although remaining above the levels of the same month last year.
Stock Movements
Total OECD commercial oil stocks fell in September to stand at 2,985 mb. At this level, OECD commercial oil stocks are 154 mb above the latest five-year average. Crude and products stocks indicated a surplus of around 129 mb and 25 mb, respectively, above the seasonal norm. In terms of days of forward cover, OECD commercial stocks stood at 62.3 days in September, some 1.9 days higher than the latest five-year average.
Balance of Supply and Demand
Based on the current global oil supply/demand balance, OPEC crude in 2017 is estimated at 33.0 mb/d, around 0.71 mb/d higher than in 2016. OPEC crude in 2018 is estimated at 33.4 mb/d, about 0.46 mb/d higher than in 2017.
Source: OPEC
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Tuesday, 07 November 17
DRY BULK SHIPPING: TAKE GOOD CARE OF THE RECOVERY SAYS PETER SAND
Demand:
Even without much support from Brazilian iron ore exports during August, capesize rates went from $10,000 to $17,000 per day. In Septembe ...
Tuesday, 07 November 17
COAL MARKETS WERE RELATIVELY BUOYANT - DANIEL HYNES
Coal markets were relatively buoyant. Metallurgical coal prices were supported by the stronger steel and iron ore prices, says Daniel Hynes, Senior ...
Tuesday, 07 November 17
PROSPERITY AND WINTER WARMTH REMAIN PARAMOUNT IN CHINA - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
Chinese officials announced recently that 580 gigawatts of coal-derived electricity generation capacity has completed ultra-low emissions reform as ...
Monday, 06 November 17
COAL SHORTAGE HURTS INDIA'S HINDALCO AND VEDANTA SAYS BUSINESS STANDARD
Aluminium smelter operations of Vedanta and Hindalco are at risk of turning unviable due to a coal crunch.
According to Business Standard an I ...
Monday, 06 November 17
MARINE BUNKER EXCHANGE EXPECTS BUNKER PRICES WILL CONTINUE UPWARD TREND NEXT WEEK
World fuel indexes rose during the week, supported by main oil producers’ statements about possible extension of oil production cut agreement ...
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Showing 1891 to 1895 news of total 6871 |
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
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