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Wednesday, 08 November 17
WEEKLY SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT
IntermodalIf you are a dry bulk owner today you are definitely feeling the pressure of the past couple of years off and given the admittedly unexpected growth in dry bulk seaborne demand during 2017 so far it is true that you have every reason to be positive.

Although demand has indeed been the pillar of the recovery so far, supply being controlled definitely played its part and it is encouraging to see that even today in a much healthier market and amidst still competitive newbuilding prices, owners still perceive second-hand tonnage prices as fairly low.

I know what you probably think right now: “Fairly low? How are prices fairly low when a 10-year old Panamax last year was valued at USD 8 million and today the price for the same vessel is in excess of USD 14 million.” This is a fair question indeed, although you have to bear in mind that during 2014 amidst a falling market, a 10-year old Japanese built Panamax was being sold for around USD 22 million.

As far as more modern tonnage is concerned – particularly Kamsarmax vessels of around 5 years of age - we see prices having steadied. This is evident by the sale of the Bariba vessel “PRIVOCEAN” (81,434dwt-blt ‘13, S. Korea), which went to Eastmed for USD 21 million at the end of last month, while back in April, following a market firming for eight months straight the M/V ex-SEATRUST (81,640dwt-blt ’13, S. Korean) was sold to Diana for USD 22.6 million.

At the same time, Supramax second-hand tonnage is enjoying most of the buying interest with the number of perspective Buyers for each candidate even reaching double digit sometimes. Indeed the >55kdwt Supra is the most popular asset at the moment attracting not only a lot of “old-school” owners but also pure asset players, with both having been convinced by the resistance this size displays even when the market comes under pressure.

As far as Handysize tonnage is concerned, we had been noticing that Buyers looking at 28kdwt as well as >32kdwt candidates were rather specific up until very recently but this is now changing. In fact, during the past week we have been seeing a lot of fresh interest from owners who had been sitting on the sidelines and hadn’t inspected in a long time and who now seem to be realizing that there could be a potential upside in asset values as earnings in the size slowly but steadily improve.

In striking contrast to all of the above sizes, it is interesting to note the fact that as far as the Capesize second-hand market is concerned, activity and prices are kept in check. The prevailing hesitancy is being fed by the substantial gap between Sellers’ and Buyers’ ideas.

Either or, it seems that the last quarter of the year is so far meeting – and maybe in some cases even exceeding – market expectations in terms of both freight rate performance and activity in the second-hand market, and as such, we expect that interest for second-hand tonnage will remain as strong as it is now at least for the next couple of months. 

By Giannis Andritsopoulos
SnP Broker
 
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.


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