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Wednesday, 13 September 17
SOME THOUGHTS ON NORTH KOREA, US & CHINA - THEODORE NTALAKOS
 The trade volume between North Korea and China is more than $5 billion per year. 83% of North Korea's exports end up in China; similarly, about 85% of the nation’s imports come from China. The rest of the trade is with countries like India, Russia, Pakistan, Thailand, and Mexico. Although Russia's trade with North Korea is marginal, total volume being less than $100 million, it should not be disregarded as Russia will not lose out on the opportunity to strengthen its own influence on North Korea as China's role diminishes. So, it was important for the USA to convince both China and Russia to agree to the trade restrictions in order to put pressure on North Korea.
From a Chinese perspective, Russia is needed to be onboard as the country has seen its own political influence over North Korea weakening. So the possibility that Russia would benefit from the Chinese trade reduction would give Beijing second thoughts about how aggressive to be on their pressure to Pyongyang. Although China has slashed coal imports from North Korea, the overall trade has risen in the first half of 2017 mostly from textile exports, in order to compensate and not lose out on total trade volumes. Now, the new sanctions approved by the U.N. Security Council target imports of refined oil products and textile exports. According to data from Bloomberg, the new measures would cut North Korean exports by 90%. This puts pressure on China but it also assures that Russia will be unable to exploit the situation to pursue its own economic or geopolitical visions.
The power-game around the Korean peninsula is huge, some analysts even warn that amidst the threats between the United States and North Korea and the ongoing nuclear missile tests, there is a risk of dragging the US into a war with China. China will not tolerate a unified Korea under the US influence or control. They did not put up with that in 1950, when Kim Jong Un's grandfather led an attack into South Korean and when the country had a fraction of the power it has now, so it is not probable that they will tolerate it now that they are a super power. So while the U.S. may have the means to destroy the N. Korean regime either by a full-scale military attack or only by targeting its people, the question “what about China?” has not been addressed yet. On the other hand, China also needs to make sure that it doesn't give out too much, as this would send the wrong message to the U.S.
Confused yet? It looks like a diplomatic labyrinth but there is no other way than through diplomatic talks to prevent the situation from worsening but also to de-escalate the tension and the war talks. We can only hope that the dark scenarios remain just discussions between analysts and academics. Otherwise, the effects will be catastrophic with a lot of human suffering.
As far as our shipping industry is concerned, China has been importing annually about $1 billion worth of mineral products from N. Korea. So, when back in February Beijing decided to ban all imports of North Korean coal, we can only assume that these imports should come from other sources increasing the ton-mile and giving its incremental contribution to the recovery of the shipping indexes. This combined with other economic policy from China on iron ore and coal imports, the better than expected data on world trade growth for 2017 and the improving order-book to trading fleet ratio has put the long-awaited recovery on the horizon.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 25 September 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DROPS FOR THE FOURTH WEEK IN A ROW, EIA DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.5 million short ton ...
Wednesday, 20 September 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
An undoubtedly interesting market lately is the newbuilding market, in which we are witnessing numerous orders across all sectors and sizes. At the ...
Monday, 18 September 17
COAL PRICES WERE RELATIVELY UNCHANGED WEEK OVER WEEK - ANZ
COALspot.com: Coal prices were relatively unchanged, with most interest remaining in the thermal coal market said Daniel Hynes. However, falling st ...
Monday, 18 September 17
PROSPECTS ARE NOT SO CLEAR CUT FOR COAL - CLARKSONS
Prospects are not so clear-cut for coal. According to Clarksons, coal has been a key energy source since the Industrial Revolution and in 2016, ste ...
Friday, 15 September 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DROPS FOR THE THIRD WEEK IN A ROW, EIA DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
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Showing 1936 to 1940 news of total 6871 |
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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