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Friday, 08 September 17
MIXED SIGNALS ON REFINERY PREPARATIONS FOR 2020 FUEL CHANGES - IBIA
A recent consultancy survey has suggested that some 85% of refiners have not made plans for how to deal with the expected dramatic fall in global demand for high sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) in 2020. However, some refineries have made recent announcements showing that they are making production changes, or are thinking about it.
In July, reports emerged that a new survey conducted by consulting company KBC found only 15% of oil refiners know how they are going to handle the shift in demand associated with the drop in the global sulphur limit for marine fuels from today’s 3.50% to 0.50% at the start of 2020. KBC surveyed refiners across the US, Europe, the Former Soviet Union and South Africa about their attitudes to the upcoming regulation.
A report published by KBC in April this year says the 2020 sulphur limit for marine fuels will likely see more than 2 million barrels per day (b/d) of HSFO become “stranded in the market” as ships shift to low sulphur fuels to comply. The KBC report said industry feedback indicated that maybe 10-15% of ships will have installed scrubbers that will enable them to continue to use HSFO compliantly by 2020.
A key observation in the KBC and several other reports is that refiners need to find an outlet for HSFO because it is an inevitable by-product of refinery operations, and if they cannot dispose of it they will be forced to cut overall production or even shut down. The least complex refineries with a high HSFO yield are most at risk, while complex refineries with fluid catalytic cracking and coking conversion facilities can reduce their HSFO yield to 3% or less of the total output.
The problem facing the refining industry, and by extension the marine fuels industry, is that major refinery conversions to reduce HSFO and produce more low sulphur distillate fuels are costly and take time to implement, meaning big investments that haven’t already been planned and approved are unlikely to be operational in time for 2020. And as the uptake of scrubbers may increase fast after 2020, demand for, and hence the value of HSFO could recover, creating uncertainty for refiners contemplating their options. Other tweaks are possible in the short term, such as using sweet crude oil as feedstock, but it is expected that the price differential between light sweet and heavy sour crude oils will increase.
Meanwhile, some refiners are signalling that they are taking notice of the International Maritime Organization’s decision to implement the 0.50% sulphur limit in 2020, and are planning changes in their production profiles in response to the impact of regulation.
One is the management of the Rheinland refinery in Wesseling, Germany, owned by the oil major Shell. It is currently investigating the possibility of expanding the residue processing plant at this refinery because “the high-sulfur residues used so far for the manufacture of marine fuels will no longer be marketable” as a result of the IMO’s 2020 sulphur regulation.
The refinery, which has an overall annual capacity of around 16-17 million tonnes, has yet to submit formal official documents for these plans but has held initial talks with politicians and environmental associations to present preliminary plans for a potential investment project. It means no detailed information is yet available about the scale, cost and timing of the project and it is uncertain if it will be ready in time for 2020. The refinery management said further talks are planned.
Another refiner, Par Petroleum, has gone public with plans to upgrade its Hawaii refinery to cut HSFO output and produce more high-value ultra low sulphur diesel (ULSD) and jet fuel at the plant. The plan is adding a 10,000 barrels per day diesel hydrotreater at the 93,000 b/d plant, which will reduce fuel oil product yields at the refinery by 4%, CEO Joseph Israel told S&P Global Platts in an interview in early August.
Although the refinery’s HSFO output is mainly used by local power stations to make electricity on Hawaii or shipped to the Far East, the refiner’s decision is linked to expectations of lower demand and a very low price for HSFO from the start of 2020, and better margins for ULSD.
The unit is slated to come online in the first quarter of 2019, and the cost of construction is said to be kept low, at $27 million, because the refinery already has a hydrogen plant with sufficient capacity and is currently making more hydrogen than the refinery uses.
The 2020 sulphur limit is expected to push up demand for low sulphur distillates to blend compliant marine fuels. S&P Global Platts said global demand for ULSD is expected to rise by 3.5 million b/d by 2020.
For the Par refinery, an important consideration for the investment was that the new refinery unit will have the flexibility to switch between making jet fuel or ULSD, depending on the margins at the time. At present, no jet fuel is produced locally, but it accounts for about half of all transportation fuels consumed in Hawaii.
It seems the 2020 sulphur regulation impact is increasingly on the radar for refiners, but while they may struggle to find markets for HSFO that has previously gone into the marine fuel pool in 2020, that does not guarantee that they will focus on producing compliant marine fuels. Some will, if they think the price is right and marine fuels will become a lucrative market, others will focus on inland markets.
by Unni Einemo, IBIA
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Friday, 13 October 17
U.S. COAL EXPORTS FOR THE FIRST SEVEN MONTHS OF 2017 TOTALED 51 MMST; UP 62% YOY, EIA DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.2 million shor ...
Thursday, 12 October 17
THERMAL COAL PRICES IN EUROPE AND ASIA PUSHING HIGHER - DANIEL HYNES
Coal markets took the lead from the oil market, with thermal coal prices in Europe and Asia pushing higher says Daniel Hynes,Senior Commodity Strat ...
Wednesday, 11 October 17
2020 DEBATE AT IBIA'S LISW EVENT: COMPLIANCE & ENFORCEMENT – IT'S COMPLICATED : IBIA
There is no doubt about the start date for the 0.50% marine fuel sulphur limit in MARPOL Annex VI, but questions remain around how it will be enfor ...
Wednesday, 11 October 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PPADIMITRIOU
With the majority of second-hand tonnage transactions taking place in the dry bulk sector it’s easy to lose sight of what is happening over a ...
Tuesday, 10 October 17
DELIVERY OF CARGO WITHOUT ORIGINAL BILLS OF LADING - UK P&I CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
- It is common in a lot of trades, whether bulk or oil, to accept a Letter of Indemnity (“LOI”) for non-produ ...
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Showing 1916 to 1920 news of total 6871 |
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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