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Wednesday, 06 September 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
IntermodalThe impact of Hurricane Harvey, which made landfall on 25th of August in South East coastline of Texas area has been the major concern of the shipping world –and not only- during the last weeks. The phenomenon has certainly been the barometer of the MR product tanker market within the Atlantic basin and likely to affect movements in further parts of the world.

Although freight rates significantly increased on the back of the tropical storm, by Friday 1st Sept, when ports started to partly operate again, rates had leveled off but were still very satisfying. As is so often the case with market dynamics owners dedicated in the edible oil markets wait to get an advantage of the developing situation.

It looks like the end of the summer months and the hurricane has brought a much-needed awakening in the S. American veg oil business. The last weeks we have seen the September inquiries being covered and cargoes already out for October dates. As long as the Atlantic CPP market remains firm, Owners will try to push freight rates for veg oil exports from S. America upwards.

There are already more and more ships ballasting north–and as a result shortening the supply of available vegetable oil candidates. The going market rate to India for 40,000MT shipments basis 1 load / 2 discharge ports is USD low 40 pmt basis 35,000mtons.

It looks like the long-haul MR Palm oil market is reviving and Owners have adopted a bullish position. Following a very lively August, September is following the same pace and charterers are now trying to cover their forward inquiries early. This is to say that the FOSFA MR available tonnage for September is scarce, while charterers are already looking ahead to book for October.

The T/C Trip benchmark with delivery at charterers’ preferred load port and redelivery in the Med-Cont-USA is $15,000/day. However, we dare to say that this number is likely to increase a lot further if current activity is sustained, as there are already rumors for significantly higher numbers being negotiated at the time of this writing.

The regional palm oil market has certainly sustained healthy activity with India leading the way in imported volume and China gradually increasing its demand ahead of the golden week holidays, although freight rates have so far failed to move accordingly. Surprisingly, this is against the fact that India has increased the taxes on import of crude palm oil (15% up) and refined palm oil ( 25% up) from Indonesia and Malaysia.

If a call has to be made on the last quarter of the year, it would be fair to say that if current positivity on the edible oil market and the rush in the Atlantic does not cool-off, owners will be on track for a better end to the year.
By Stelios Kollintzas 
Specialized Products

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

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