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Tuesday, 22 August 17
THOSE DOG DAYS OF SUMMER STEEL PRODUCTION IN CHINA - COMMODORE
CommodoreCOALspot.com: One popular but inaccurate narrative that makes the rounds every June and July (and occurred again this year) is that China’s steel output and demand are very weak in summer months.

The pundits that make this claim year after year ignore what actually occurs in China.  However, as examined in Commodore Research's July 3rd Weekly China Report, a look back at seasonal steel output in China showed that steel output usually comes under only a small amount of pressure every June, July, and August.  As Commodore Research advocated in that report, there was no reason to expect a large drop in Chinese steel output would occur this summer -- but nevertheless, that is what many pundits were predicting.

As discussed in Commodore Research's July 3rd Weekly China Report, last year saw China produce 70.5 million tons of crude steel in May (which at that time was close to a record).  The next three months then saw crude steel production average 68.3 million tons, which worked out to a decline of only 3% from May’s production. This type of very small decline has been commonly seen in recent years.  In addition, compared to the 65.3 million ton production average seen during the first four months of 2016, the 68.3 million ton production average seen during June, July, and August 2016 was up by 3 million tons (5%).

Leading up to this summer, it was wrong when many pundits were stating that Chinese steel output comes under great pressure during the summer of each year.  This is not true, and Commodore Research insisted this would not occur this year.  Going forward, though, many pundits will remain of the view that China's steel output typically comes under great pressure every summer.  This year they are seeing how that is not true, but come next year the same inaccurate narrative will surface again before the summer of 2018 begins.

Overall, in many markets, economic coverage is often wrong and misleading.  There is a great deal of money to be made in the shipping and related equity markets whenever perception is not aligned with reality.  

About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy focuses on providing forward-looking views and analysis on the global economy, national economies, and individual equity and commodity markets. Commodore Research & Consultancy work provides non-consensus research and analysis and often highlights flaws in market consensus.


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Thursday, 16 November 17
KOMIPO INVITED BIDS FOR 3.9 MILLION TONS OF 5700 NAR AND 5400 NAR COAL FOR 2018 - 2020 DELIVERY
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an another new tender for total 3,900,000 Metric Tons of min. 570 ...


Thursday, 16 November 17
THE PORT OF NEWCASTLE HAS SHIPPED 14.94 PERCENT LESS COAL IN OCTOBER 2017, DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports, and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1,466.8 ...


Thursday, 16 November 17
GOVERNMENT, 13 COAL MINERS AGREE TO CHANGE CONTRACTS - JP
The government and 13 coal mining companies have agreed to change the old Contract of Work (CoW), as part of the implementation of Law No. 4/20199 ...


Wednesday, 15 November 17
IEA RECOGNISES COAL'S CONTINUOUS IMPORTANCE TO GLOBAL ENERGY NEEDS - WCA
The World Coal Association (WCA) has welcomed the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) recognition that coal will continue to play a vital rol ...


Wednesday, 15 November 17
THERMAL COAL WAS DRAGGED DOWN BY THE WEAKNESS ACROSS THE WIDER ENERGY SECTOR - DANIEL HYNES
The coal market was mixed. Thermal coal was dragged down by the weakness across the wider energy sector, said Daniel Hynes Senior Commodi ...


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