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Wednesday, 19 July 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - NASSOS SOULAKIS
IntermodalReferring back to a previous Intermodal insight that was written in the first quarter of 2017, the author at the time had claimed that MR tanker rates were at healthy levels and above OPEX-CAPEX levels which, coupled with low asset prices, created an entry for potential investors to achieve attractive margins.

After almost four months, the view of that insight appears to have been accurate, as we observed numerous ship-owners who, having adopted the strategic approach to invest in MRs, benefited from the low asset prices together with the slightly improved freight rates compared to Q1.

To put things into perspective, Q2 saw an increase of around 42% on SnP transactions compared to Q1, although this what not followed by an equally sharp increase in earnings. Representative examples of recent SnP transactions during this period are the sales of the ‘NORD INDEPENDENCE’ (48,005dwt-blt 10, Japan) and the ‘NORD INTEGRITY’ (48,026dwt-blt 10, Japan), which were sold last month with only a few weeks difference for a price of $18.0m and $17.5m respectively.

When comparing the aforementioned sales with that of the ‘MARE CARIBBEAN’ (46,718dwt-blt 04, S. Korea), which was sold at the end of March for a price of $17.5m, we can observe a certain degree of stability on asset prices that seems to have persisted throughout the first half of the year.

Looking at available tonnage throughout the year so far and more specifically at vessels up to 15 years of age, there has been steadily a number of around 25 to 30 available units considered as eligible sale candidates, which combined with various private units, has been an ideal pool of choices for perspective Buyers.

Taking all of the above into account, it quickly becomes apparent that asset prices are stable at attractive levels despite the increased interest for MR tonnage. Furthermore, there is still the possibility for selective transactions within the MR segment.

Looking at the table above and more specifically the order-book to the fleet ratio for vessels that are above 15 years of age, it seems that the outlook in terms of tonnage supply is fairly healthy when compared to sizes like Panamax/LR1 and Aframax/LR2, estimated at around 102% and 72% respectively.  

If one was to add to the balanced supply aspect that of the relatively steady freight market and of course the increased buying interest in the sector, it seems like the MR size remains a rather attractive investment at the moment. 
By Nassos Soulakis
SnP Broker

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.


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