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Wednesday, 31 May 17
MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KAKAVITSAS
 In the next episode of the oil market; The market reacts to OPEC’s production cut extension, the US shale oil producers are ruining the cartel’s plan to manipulate the oil price, money managers’ positions reverse and finally, USA versus Iran! Stay tuned to find out more about the intriguing action taking place in the oil market.
Goliath. When the first production cut agreement was agreed by OPEC oil producers last November, WTI crude surged 12% within a trading week noting its biggest gains in 6 years. On the contrary, the agreement during last week’s meeting in Vienna, to extend the cut for another nine months failed to cause a rally in oil prices. Instead, both WTI and the global benchmark Brent slid on the 25th of May signaling not only that the extension was already priced in the commodity’s price but also further pessimism from the investing community. It seems that the mighty cartel will need more than announcements to meet its target price of $60/bbl. But guess who does stand in its way.
David. That’s correct. US shale oil producers have more than doubled their operating rigs from the previous year’s lowest point. Amid the highest production levels since August 2015, inventories hitting record numbers on March 2017 and new technologies that allow for a lower breakeven point in operating expenses, shale producers did not stay idle. But what is probably the best countermeasure that they took lies in the financial markets. Taking advantage of the price rally that occurred from announcements that the cartel traditionally uses to stimulate the market, they hedged their physical positions when the oil price has hit more than $50/bbl, a point assuring them profitability. So effectively, OPEC’s strategy proved somewhat unsuccessful as it helped save the sector it originally tried to eliminate!
Big Short. Another notable player sitting in the oil market’s table is smart money. Money managers’ positions demonstrate a rather bearish picture as bets against oil in both futures and options markets hit record highs. Moreover, consecutive cuts in net-long positions in WTI and Brent holdings, further ascertains that hedge funds are no longer overinvested in the oil market. I know what you are thinking. Rallies in oil price did happen. Well, they sure did; nevertheless, somewhere between behavioral sentiment, purely short-term technical trading and covering of short positions none of these rallies have proved to be a persistent upward trend.
Uncle Sam. Despite Iran’s compliance with the terms of the nuclear deal, possibility that current US government will not proceed to lift sanctions just yet is still hovering around. This way, prices for domestic crude as well as North Sea’s Brent will most probably be boosted. In regards though to the oil-derived shipping market, less production in the Middle-East region may suggest a substitution with Nigerian crude, which results in more ton-miles of transportation as major importers are located in the Far East. However, this reduction in heavier crude production suggests that refineries will produce less fuel oil in favor of higher distillate products potentially affecting this way the trading patterns between the dirty and clean tanker market segments. So, as you may have guessed, the impact that president Trump’s policies will have on trump shipping is not easy to assess.
So, what have we learnt so far? Well, if price stability and sustainable growth of the market is the focus, then OPEC’s best option could be adjusting its strategy instead of expecting global demand to pick up. Otherwise, if its influence is not so strong anymore, maybe -and this is just a thought- it needs to look west for some new allies.
By Konstantinos Kakavitsas
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 31 October 17
BALTIC DRY INDEX TAKES A BREAK FROM ITS UPWARD RALLY COURSE - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
It has been a week of corrections for the dry bulk freight market as it seems as the general Baltic Dry Index takes a break from its upward rally c ...
Friday, 27 October 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION FLAT WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 14.9 million short tons ...
Thursday, 26 October 17
CYBER COVER FOR E-BILLS - PHILIP STEPHENSON
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Increasingly popular electronic bills of lading are, by their nature, susceptible to the risk of cyber attack. Here, Stan ...
Thursday, 26 October 17
INDO TO CHINA ROUNDS SUPRAS ACHIEVING AROUND HIGH $14000 - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
By mid-week the market has been relatively quiet in the Pacific basin as well, but still some healthy rates being achieved on the differ ...
Thursday, 26 October 17
STRONG SIGNAL FOR AUSTRALIAN COAL DEMAND - GREG EVANS
The International Energy Agency’s Southeast Asia Energy Outlook report, released today, presents a positive outlook for Australian coal produ ...
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Showing 1901 to 1905 news of total 6871 |
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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