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Tuesday, 30 May 17
MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 Despite the fair performance that has been noted in the Chinese economy over the past 5 months, we have started to see an increase in the skepticism and fear as to the upcoming prospects of the world’s second largest economy. In part the majority of this emerging sentiment has to do with some of the most recent figures coming out of China with regards to its imports, urging many to take further weight onto the idea that the recent tightening of financing and clearing out of excesses by the government has likely starting to lead to a further slowdown that has only just started to show face, said George Lazaridis of Allied Shipping in his latest weekly report.
Furthermore, it seems as though many have rushed to embrace this as a scenario, feeding with their preconceptions that the excessive debt problem in China and the bubble effects they have been mentioning several times over the past years in terms of real estate and financial markets have started to play their part.
Allied Shipping’s analyst further noted that often with these latter preconceptions is the connection with what we have seen historically in other emerging markets in the past and the most usual comparison is that of the course we witnessed back in the 1980’s in Japan’s economy. With the number of similarities now increasing even further as to how Japan’s economy failed before the bubble collapsed and the figures coming out of China today. China just like Japan back then, is now the world’s second-largest economy, supplying just over 20% of US imports (just as Japan did back in the 80’s) and providing 40 percent of the global economy’s annual growth. More importantly, many of the similarities relate to the debt held, with China’s total debt now holding at 2505 of GDP and non-financial corporate debt-to-GDP ratio reaching a total of 155%. To many the similarities are too great, confirming their affirmation that China’s economic behavior as a bubble-like market is unlikely to end well.
The analyst further said in his report, there are however some very notable differences. Chinese investment outside of China has not been limited to snapping up of western real estate and large corporations. Being an economy largely directed by its government with firm planning, there has been a great deal of investment that has taken place which is more in line with the policies undertaken by the United States in the start of the 20th Century, with a focus on securing raw resources as well as helping to beef up satellite emerging markets that could prove to be future consumers of its large-scale exports. At the same time, a large percentage of its economy is still in the grips of the government, as such allowing for more gradual smoothing and corrections to be made rather than a full out bubble burst. Obviously, this hasn’t always worked perfectly as the collapse of its stock market bubble in 2015 testifies. It seems as though there is a whole lot of investment being undertaken that has yet to bear fruits from which a more stable picture of the Chinese economy can emerge, yet as you look at the course of its market’s focus over the past 10 years, it has shown an ability to maneuver its targets and focus and find sources of growth beyond just the major developed economies such as the U.S. and Europe.
For the time being there has been a slowdown compared to the record production and import levels that were being noted earlier in the year, yet its engine of growth seems to still have plenty more momentum to go on at least for the near-term. Even if these fears are founded, it does not seem to be something of major concern, for now, he concluded.
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Monday, 25 July 16
THE BDI FELL ON WEAKER RATES FOR CAPESIZE & PANAMAX VESSELS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities slide slightly as Cape and Panamax segments ending in neg ...
Friday, 22 July 16
U.S COAL OUTPUT ROSE 17.2% WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S, world’s second largest coal producers has produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.1 million short tons (mms ...
Thursday, 21 July 16
WHAT TO DO WHEN YOU DON'T GET PAID - SHIPOWNERS CLUB
Present market conditions have led to an increase in claims related to unpaid hire. To recover unpaid hire, Owners need to fully understand who the ...
Thursday, 21 July 16
CONSTRUCTIVE TOTAL LOSS: WHAT GOES IN TO CALCULATING QUANTUM? - HILL DICKINSON
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The Commercial Court recently delivered its judgment in an important case (Connect Shipping Inc and Machrimar Management ...
Wednesday, 20 July 16
EDIBLE OIL MARKETS ACROSS THE GLOBE REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
The edible oil markets across the globe remain under pressure on the back of lackluster demand. Some of the main factors causing the low activity a ...
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
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