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Tuesday, 30 May 17
MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 Despite the fair performance that has been noted in the Chinese economy over the past 5 months, we have started to see an increase in the skepticism and fear as to the upcoming prospects of the world’s second largest economy. In part the majority of this emerging sentiment has to do with some of the most recent figures coming out of China with regards to its imports, urging many to take further weight onto the idea that the recent tightening of financing and clearing out of excesses by the government has likely starting to lead to a further slowdown that has only just started to show face, said George Lazaridis of Allied Shipping in his latest weekly report.
Furthermore, it seems as though many have rushed to embrace this as a scenario, feeding with their preconceptions that the excessive debt problem in China and the bubble effects they have been mentioning several times over the past years in terms of real estate and financial markets have started to play their part.
Allied Shipping’s analyst further noted that often with these latter preconceptions is the connection with what we have seen historically in other emerging markets in the past and the most usual comparison is that of the course we witnessed back in the 1980’s in Japan’s economy. With the number of similarities now increasing even further as to how Japan’s economy failed before the bubble collapsed and the figures coming out of China today. China just like Japan back then, is now the world’s second-largest economy, supplying just over 20% of US imports (just as Japan did back in the 80’s) and providing 40 percent of the global economy’s annual growth. More importantly, many of the similarities relate to the debt held, with China’s total debt now holding at 2505 of GDP and non-financial corporate debt-to-GDP ratio reaching a total of 155%. To many the similarities are too great, confirming their affirmation that China’s economic behavior as a bubble-like market is unlikely to end well.
The analyst further said in his report, there are however some very notable differences. Chinese investment outside of China has not been limited to snapping up of western real estate and large corporations. Being an economy largely directed by its government with firm planning, there has been a great deal of investment that has taken place which is more in line with the policies undertaken by the United States in the start of the 20th Century, with a focus on securing raw resources as well as helping to beef up satellite emerging markets that could prove to be future consumers of its large-scale exports. At the same time, a large percentage of its economy is still in the grips of the government, as such allowing for more gradual smoothing and corrections to be made rather than a full out bubble burst. Obviously, this hasn’t always worked perfectly as the collapse of its stock market bubble in 2015 testifies. It seems as though there is a whole lot of investment being undertaken that has yet to bear fruits from which a more stable picture of the Chinese economy can emerge, yet as you look at the course of its market’s focus over the past 10 years, it has shown an ability to maneuver its targets and focus and find sources of growth beyond just the major developed economies such as the U.S. and Europe.
For the time being there has been a slowdown compared to the record production and import levels that were being noted earlier in the year, yet its engine of growth seems to still have plenty more momentum to go on at least for the near-term. Even if these fears are founded, it does not seem to be something of major concern, for now, he concluded.
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Wednesday, 10 May 17
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Up until a few weeks ago, demo deals were being concluded at just a fraction below $400/ldt. Last time we saw demo prices around that level was in ...
Tuesday, 09 May 17
DRY BULK TRADE IS STILL HEAVILY RELIANT ON CHINA - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
We have seen an overall cool down in the dry bulk and tanker markets over the final two weeks of April, sparking worries amongst ship-owners that t ...
Monday, 08 May 17
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE RISES FOR SECOND STRAIGHT MONTH IN MAY
COALspot.com: Indonesian government declared coal benchmark price rose in May, government data showed.
The benchmark price of Indonesian therm ...
Monday, 08 May 17
OCEAN BULK CARGO RATES FALL FURTHER THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The Freight market continues to slump this past week, with all segments show a negative downward trend week over week.
The Balti ...
Monday, 08 May 17
US WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT ON THE DOWN - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.8 million short tons ...
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Showing 2051 to 2055 news of total 6871 |
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- Planning Commission, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
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