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Thursday, 13 April 17
OPEC OVER-DELIVERS ON OIL CUTS, BUT SEES RIVALS' OUTPUT RISING
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $50.32/b in March, representing a decline of 5.7% from the previous month. Crude futures also declined on concerns about growing oil output and high crude inventories in the US. ICE Brent ended 6.2% lower at $52.54/b, while NYMEX WTI decreased 7.1% to $49.67/b. The BrentWTI spread widened to $2.86/b, supporting US crude oil exports. Hedge funds liquidated their large net long positions in crude, contributing to the sharp drop in oil prices.
World Economy
The momentum in global economic growth has been improving resulting in an upward revision in the 2017 forecast to now stand at 3.3% from 3.2% previously, while growth for 2016 remains at 3.0%. OECD growth in 2017 remains at 1.9%, with the US and Euro-zone seeing no revisions. Japan’s 2017 growth forecast was revised up to 1.2% from 1.1% previously. China’s 2017 growth was also revised higher to 6.3% from 6.2%, while India’s forecast remains at 7.0%. Russia’s 2017 growth was revised up to 1.2% from 1.0%, while the forecast for Brazil is unchanged at 0.5%.
World Oil Demand
World oil demand growth in 2016 was kept broadly unchanged at 1.38 mb/d, averaging 95.05 mb/d. For 2017, oil demand growth is anticipated to be around 1.27 mb/d, following an upward revision of 10 mb/d to average 96.32 mb/d. The ‘Other Asia’ group – which includes India – is anticipated to lead oil demand growth in 2017, followed by China and OECD Americas. OECD Asia-Pacific is the only region anticipated to see a decline in oil demand in 2017.
World Oil Supply
Non-OPEC oil supply is estimated to have averaged 57.32 mb/d in 2016, representing a contraction of 0.69 mb/d y-o-y following a minor downward revision of 30 tb/d. In 2017, non-OPEC oil supply is projected to grow by 0.58 mb/d, following an upward revision of 176 tb/d due to higher than expected growth in the US and lesser contractions in Colombia and China, to average 57.89 mb/d. The US supply growth forecast was revised up by 0.20 mb/d to stand at 0.54 mb/d. OPEC NGLs and non-conventional oil production is forecast to grow by 0.13 mb/d in 2017, following growth of 0.14 mb/d in 2016. In March, OPEC production decreased by 153 tb/d, according to secondary sources, to average 31.93 mb/d. Product Markets and
Refining Operations
Product markets exhibited a mixed performance in the Atlantic Basin, as the lack of export opportunities for gasoline amid increasing inflows of middle distillates impacted the European market. Meanwhile, stronger domestic gasoline demand in the US ahead of the transition to summer grades lent strong support to refinery margins. In Asia, the lack of arbitrage amid increasing inflows into the region weighed on the market despite the onset of the spring refinery maintenance season.
Tanker Market
The tanker market showed a mixed pattern in March. VLCCs exhibiting an average decline of 23% m-o-m in spot rates on its various trading routes, as the tonnage availability remained abundant. In contrast, Suezmax and Aframax rates increased m-o-m by 13%, and 6%, respectively, mainly due to transit delays in the Turkish Straits, discharge delays in the east, and occasional tightening in tonnage supply. The market experienced higher monthly freight rates for clean tankers on most reported routes.
Stock Movements
Total OECD commercial oil stocks fell in February to 2,987 mb to now stand 268 mb above the latest five years average. Crude and product stocks indicated a surplus of around 227 mb and 41 mb, respectively. In terms of days of forward cover, OECD commercial stocks stood at 64.2 days, some 4.6 days higher than the latest five-year average Balance of Supply and Demand
Demand for OPEC crude in 2016 now stands at 31.7 mb/d, which is 1.9 mb/d higher than the 2015 level. In 2017, demand for OPEC crude is projected at 32.2 mb/d, around 0.6 mb/d higher than the 2016 level.
Source: OPEC
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Monday, 08 May 17
US WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT ON THE DOWN - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.8 million short tons ...
Thursday, 04 May 17
SUPRAMAX: INDO COAL ROUNDS LEVELS WITH DELIVERY CHINA IS TRADING AROUND LOW $6K, TRIP BACK TO CHINA
Supramax
The short week brought weaker rates across all routes. Supras from USG to Japan were fixed around $19-20 k daily and from ECSA to ECI $1 ...
Wednesday, 03 May 17
MALAYSIA SEEMS AS BIGGEST ADARO COAL IMPORTER IN Q1' 17
COALspot.com: In 1Q17, 30% of Adaro's sales went to Indonesia, the data from unaudited consolidated financial statement shows.
Malaysia ca ...
Wednesday, 03 May 17
MARKET INSIGHT - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
The overall performance of each sector within the edible oil markets has remained poor for the past weeks. Apart from the veg oil exports fro ...
Tuesday, 02 May 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUE TO SLUMP THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The Freight market continues to slump this past week, as all segments except Handy Size show a negative downward trend.
The Balt ...
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Coal Association
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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