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Thursday, 13 April 17
OPEC OVER-DELIVERS ON OIL CUTS, BUT SEES RIVALS' OUTPUT RISING
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $50.32/b in March, representing a decline of 5.7% from the previous month. Crude futures also declined on concerns about growing oil output and high crude inventories in the US. ICE Brent ended 6.2% lower at $52.54/b, while NYMEX WTI decreased 7.1% to $49.67/b. The BrentWTI spread widened to $2.86/b, supporting US crude oil exports. Hedge funds liquidated their large net long positions in crude, contributing to the sharp drop in oil prices.
World Economy
The momentum in global economic growth has been improving resulting in an upward revision in the 2017 forecast to now stand at 3.3% from 3.2% previously, while growth for 2016 remains at 3.0%. OECD growth in 2017 remains at 1.9%, with the US and Euro-zone seeing no revisions. Japan’s 2017 growth forecast was revised up to 1.2% from 1.1% previously. China’s 2017 growth was also revised higher to 6.3% from 6.2%, while India’s forecast remains at 7.0%. Russia’s 2017 growth was revised up to 1.2% from 1.0%, while the forecast for Brazil is unchanged at 0.5%.
World Oil Demand
World oil demand growth in 2016 was kept broadly unchanged at 1.38 mb/d, averaging 95.05 mb/d. For 2017, oil demand growth is anticipated to be around 1.27 mb/d, following an upward revision of 10 mb/d to average 96.32 mb/d. The ‘Other Asia’ group – which includes India – is anticipated to lead oil demand growth in 2017, followed by China and OECD Americas. OECD Asia-Pacific is the only region anticipated to see a decline in oil demand in 2017.
World Oil Supply
Non-OPEC oil supply is estimated to have averaged 57.32 mb/d in 2016, representing a contraction of 0.69 mb/d y-o-y following a minor downward revision of 30 tb/d. In 2017, non-OPEC oil supply is projected to grow by 0.58 mb/d, following an upward revision of 176 tb/d due to higher than expected growth in the US and lesser contractions in Colombia and China, to average 57.89 mb/d. The US supply growth forecast was revised up by 0.20 mb/d to stand at 0.54 mb/d. OPEC NGLs and non-conventional oil production is forecast to grow by 0.13 mb/d in 2017, following growth of 0.14 mb/d in 2016. In March, OPEC production decreased by 153 tb/d, according to secondary sources, to average 31.93 mb/d. Product Markets and
Refining Operations
Product markets exhibited a mixed performance in the Atlantic Basin, as the lack of export opportunities for gasoline amid increasing inflows of middle distillates impacted the European market. Meanwhile, stronger domestic gasoline demand in the US ahead of the transition to summer grades lent strong support to refinery margins. In Asia, the lack of arbitrage amid increasing inflows into the region weighed on the market despite the onset of the spring refinery maintenance season.
Tanker Market
The tanker market showed a mixed pattern in March. VLCCs exhibiting an average decline of 23% m-o-m in spot rates on its various trading routes, as the tonnage availability remained abundant. In contrast, Suezmax and Aframax rates increased m-o-m by 13%, and 6%, respectively, mainly due to transit delays in the Turkish Straits, discharge delays in the east, and occasional tightening in tonnage supply. The market experienced higher monthly freight rates for clean tankers on most reported routes.
Stock Movements
Total OECD commercial oil stocks fell in February to 2,987 mb to now stand 268 mb above the latest five years average. Crude and product stocks indicated a surplus of around 227 mb and 41 mb, respectively. In terms of days of forward cover, OECD commercial stocks stood at 64.2 days, some 4.6 days higher than the latest five-year average Balance of Supply and Demand
Demand for OPEC crude in 2016 now stands at 31.7 mb/d, which is 1.9 mb/d higher than the 2015 level. In 2017, demand for OPEC crude is projected at 32.2 mb/d, around 0.6 mb/d higher than the 2016 level.
Source: OPEC
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Wednesday, 24 May 17
LR MARKET IT SEEMS THAT EARNINGS ARE STILL UNDER PRESSURE - INTERMODAL
As we are approaching the summer season, the Clean Product market appears poised to become more challenging, either on East or West of Suez.
L ...
Tuesday, 23 May 17
TANKERS WEEKLY MARKET NOTE - ALLIED
It’s been a turbulent couple of weeks on the oil front, with the effectiveness of OPEC’s policy being under debate amongst most traders ...
Monday, 22 May 17
THE SHIPPING INDEX DECLINES AGAIN
COALspot.com: The Freight market again decline this past week, as BDI and all other indexes show a negative trend week over week.
The Baltic E ...
Friday, 19 May 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT UP 1.2% WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 13.5 million short ton ...
Thursday, 18 May 17
SUPRAMAX : COAL TRIPS TO CHINA WITH VESSELS OPEN INDO HAVE BEEN FIXED AROUND $8000
Supramax
Atlantic market has stayed quiet with no substantial developments.
Cont to Med scrap cargoes have concluded around 11k says Fearnle ...
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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