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Thursday, 13 April 17
OPEC OVER-DELIVERS ON OIL CUTS, BUT SEES RIVALS' OUTPUT RISING
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $50.32/b in March, representing a decline of 5.7% from the previous month. Crude futures also declined on concerns about growing oil output and high crude inventories in the US. ICE Brent ended 6.2% lower at $52.54/b, while NYMEX WTI decreased 7.1% to $49.67/b. The BrentWTI spread widened to $2.86/b, supporting US crude oil exports. Hedge funds liquidated their large net long positions in crude, contributing to the sharp drop in oil prices.
World Economy
The momentum in global economic growth has been improving resulting in an upward revision in the 2017 forecast to now stand at 3.3% from 3.2% previously, while growth for 2016 remains at 3.0%. OECD growth in 2017 remains at 1.9%, with the US and Euro-zone seeing no revisions. Japan’s 2017 growth forecast was revised up to 1.2% from 1.1% previously. China’s 2017 growth was also revised higher to 6.3% from 6.2%, while India’s forecast remains at 7.0%. Russia’s 2017 growth was revised up to 1.2% from 1.0%, while the forecast for Brazil is unchanged at 0.5%.
World Oil Demand
World oil demand growth in 2016 was kept broadly unchanged at 1.38 mb/d, averaging 95.05 mb/d. For 2017, oil demand growth is anticipated to be around 1.27 mb/d, following an upward revision of 10 mb/d to average 96.32 mb/d. The ‘Other Asia’ group – which includes India – is anticipated to lead oil demand growth in 2017, followed by China and OECD Americas. OECD Asia-Pacific is the only region anticipated to see a decline in oil demand in 2017.
World Oil Supply
Non-OPEC oil supply is estimated to have averaged 57.32 mb/d in 2016, representing a contraction of 0.69 mb/d y-o-y following a minor downward revision of 30 tb/d. In 2017, non-OPEC oil supply is projected to grow by 0.58 mb/d, following an upward revision of 176 tb/d due to higher than expected growth in the US and lesser contractions in Colombia and China, to average 57.89 mb/d. The US supply growth forecast was revised up by 0.20 mb/d to stand at 0.54 mb/d. OPEC NGLs and non-conventional oil production is forecast to grow by 0.13 mb/d in 2017, following growth of 0.14 mb/d in 2016. In March, OPEC production decreased by 153 tb/d, according to secondary sources, to average 31.93 mb/d. Product Markets and
Refining Operations
Product markets exhibited a mixed performance in the Atlantic Basin, as the lack of export opportunities for gasoline amid increasing inflows of middle distillates impacted the European market. Meanwhile, stronger domestic gasoline demand in the US ahead of the transition to summer grades lent strong support to refinery margins. In Asia, the lack of arbitrage amid increasing inflows into the region weighed on the market despite the onset of the spring refinery maintenance season.
Tanker Market
The tanker market showed a mixed pattern in March. VLCCs exhibiting an average decline of 23% m-o-m in spot rates on its various trading routes, as the tonnage availability remained abundant. In contrast, Suezmax and Aframax rates increased m-o-m by 13%, and 6%, respectively, mainly due to transit delays in the Turkish Straits, discharge delays in the east, and occasional tightening in tonnage supply. The market experienced higher monthly freight rates for clean tankers on most reported routes.
Stock Movements
Total OECD commercial oil stocks fell in February to 2,987 mb to now stand 268 mb above the latest five years average. Crude and product stocks indicated a surplus of around 227 mb and 41 mb, respectively. In terms of days of forward cover, OECD commercial stocks stood at 64.2 days, some 4.6 days higher than the latest five-year average Balance of Supply and Demand
Demand for OPEC crude in 2016 now stands at 31.7 mb/d, which is 1.9 mb/d higher than the 2015 level. In 2017, demand for OPEC crude is projected at 32.2 mb/d, around 0.6 mb/d higher than the 2016 level.
Source: OPEC
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Thursday, 21 June 18
ROBUST ASIAN THERMAL COAL DEMAND CREATES OPPORTUNITIES FOR AUSTRALIA - MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA
Minerals Council of Australia reported, Australia’s world-class coal mining industry can create more jobs in Australia and strengthen t ...
Thursday, 21 June 18
CHINESE REDUCED COAL IMPORT RESTRICTIONS - CAIXIN GLOBAL
Caixin Global reported that the Chinese government has reduced restrictions on coal imports at the nation’s major ports in response to concer ...
Thursday, 21 June 18
INDIAN GOVERNMENT ADMITS COAL SHORTAGE, ASKS DISCOMS TO IMPORT - TIMES OF INDIA
Times of India reported that the power ministry has advised all state governments and private power distribution companies to import coal as Coal I ...
Tuesday, 19 June 18
WCA RESPONDS TO BP STATISTICAL REVIEW OF WORLD ENERGY 2018
Responding to BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy 2018, Benjamin Sporton, Chief Executive of the World Coal Association (WCA) said, &ldqu ...
Wednesday, 13 June 18
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO DECLINE BY 2% TO 756 MILLION SHORT TONS MMST IN 2018 - EIA
EIA forecasts U.S. coal production to decline by 2% to 756 million short tons (MMst) in 2018.
According to EIA's Short-Term Ener ...
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Planning Commission, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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