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Wednesday, 05 April 17
THE AVERAGE SECOND HAND PANAMAXES AND CAPES PRICES FOR A 5-YR OLD VESSEL HAS INCREASED MORE THAN 19% AND 20% RESPECTIVELY M/M - INTERMODAL
IntermodalWith the help of what so far appears to be a very strong grain season together with the fact that imports from China have remained so far robust in 2017, it is no wonder that momentum in the Dry Bulk market has become particularly strong, pushing second-hand and lately newbuilding prices as well to higher levels.

The speed in which second hand prices have been firming is indeed impressive across all dry bulk sizes but particularly Panamaxes and Capes, where the average monthly price for a 5-yr old vessel has increased more than 19% and 20% respectively within just one month. A very representative example of this jaw dropping increase is the sale of the Panamax ‘RED GARDENIA’ (76,294dwt-blt 05, Japan), which was sold at the end of February at $7.3m and the sale of the Panamax ‘ALESSANDRO VOLTA (76,806dwt-blt 05, Japan, sold at $10.0m last month.

This strong upward movement in second-hand prices has undoubtedly brought euphoria among owners and has given extra incentive to invest to those who have been feeling a bit insecure to do so, due to this very speedy increase in prices that has brought back memories of past asset bubbles.  Saying that, there is a number of medium sized shipowners who have already moved back to the sidelines and there is a good chance to see these owners return to the second-hand market in the near future to invest in the tanker or the container market, where prices have been less strong and could probably offer achieve a bigger premium down the line compared to dry bulkers.

At the same time, collaborations between private equity funds and shipowners have been intensifying again, as the former seem to once more be intrigued by this recent positive reversal in the freight market. So if you wonder “Where did this guy find the money to buy?” the answer is most probably that a fund has provided debt or equity.

This is also the case in regards to newbuilding investments, which started to pop up here and there during the past month. Indeed, as sale candidates have decreased and in addition to the fact that prices of modern second-hand tonnage have started to close the gap with the respective newbuilding price, has caused a spike in newbuilding enquiries by a big number of owners, a substantial part of which has already translated in either firm orders or discussions in the LOI stage.

On the Tanker side things have been less rosy as far as asset prices and SnP activity is concerned. The softening trend in the freight market during the past year has pushed second-hand tanker prices down during the past months but it seems that these cheaper prices have not inspired strong SnP activity.

Indeed potential Buyers were waiting for even lower ideas on behalf of Sellers, with the former seeing no major reason to offer greater discounts on their vessels amidst a freight market that hasn’t been bad. Saying that, we have been lately noticing a few big names starting to invest in the tanker sector once again, fact which might eventually help towards steadier and possibly higher values ahead…after all opportunity is in the eye of the beholder.

By Giannis Andritsopoulos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.


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