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Friday, 11 September 09
ALPHA NATURAL EXPECTS HIGHER MET, STEAM COAL PRICES IN 2010
Mining Weekly reported that, There are encouraging signs that metallurgical coal demand in most key global markets is either returning or poised to do so, Alpha Natural Resources CEO Kevin Crutchfield said on Thursday.
Further, while inventories of US thermal coal remain high by historical standards, this situation could turn around over the next 12 months, to the point where demand exceeds supply – possibly in late 2010 or early 2011, he told analysts and investors on a conference call.
Alpha Natural, now the third-biggest coal producer in the US after it bought rival Foundation Coal last month, produces steam coal from mines in the Powder River Basin (PRB) and north and central Appalachia.
It is also the biggest producer of high-quality metallurgical coal from its Appalachian mines.
Based on committed and priced coal shipments, the company expects to receive an average of $10,50/t for its PRB coal this year, but that average prices will improve to $11,17 in 2010.
Eastern steam coal prices are forecast at $63,84/t in 2009, but are seen increasing to $69,51/t next year, while Alpha Natural estimates it will realise an average of $114,45/t for its metallurgical coal in 2010, up from a forecast $100,87/t for this year.
Total shipments in 2009 are expected to be between 83-million and 87,5-million tons, and shipments are forecast at $80-million to $90-million next year.
This year's guidance includes 50-million to 51,5-million tons of PRB coal, 26-million to 28-million of eastern steam coal and 7-million to 8-million tons of metallurgical coal.
The firm is already “very well” contracted for 2010, with more than 85% of expected shipments committed for delivery, Crutchfield reported.
Although the economic downturn continues to weigh on coal markets in the US and around the world, the domestic metallurgical coal market, is starting to show signs of recovery, and will likely be the first segment of the coal industry to return to relative health, he said.
Further, the global fundamentals for metallurgical coal are also improving, with Chinese demand expected to remain strong, he said.
China, which was a net exporter of coal just three years ago, is on pace to import about 100-million tons of coal this year, 30-million of which is expected to be metallurgical coal, Crutchfield said.
“This trend had been abating somewhat, but it is our belief the recent mine disaster is likely to sustain import requirements, given the closure of 157 small mines in the region.”
There are also “tangible” signs of increased metallurgical coal demand and requirements from Europe, which appears to be poised for a turnaround, he said.
As for steam coal, however, inventories remain above normal across the US, and a mild summer combined with low natural gas prices have added to the demand-weakening effects of the economic downturn.
However, with the outlook in the US beginning to improve, Crutchfield said the decrease in electricity demand can be expected to moderate and give way to at least modest demand growth in early 2010.
Much of the elimination of high cost production that occurred during the down turn will be difficult to bring back, he said, which means that a stronger market could result in demand for steam coal outstripping supply, once inventories return to normal levels.
This could develop in late 2010 or early 2011, he predicted.
MORE GROWTH TO COME
After closing the Foundation merger, Alpha Natural had total debt of $901-million and cash of cash equivalents of $497-million, plus a $650-million revolver.
Crutchfield indicated on Thursday the firm will continue to look at potential merger and acquisition opportunities.
“With our liquidity and scale, Alpha has a number of strategic options.
“Our financial position enables us to entertain additional M&A opportunities which can either be small bolt-on acquisitions, that complement our existing business, or transformational deals, like the merger with Foundation,” he said.
The firm has created a new position of chief strategy officer, who will have the responsibility of evaluating both acquisitive and organic opportunities.
Management is committed to the continued growth of the company, Crutchfield said, but added that it would not be “growth for growth's sake”.
“Future growth projects – be they through acquisition or organic development – will be undertaken prudently, with careful thought to strategic fit, valuation and manageability.”
“But one thing's for sure: we will continue to grow beyond the current merger,” he asserted.
Source: Mining Weekly
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Tuesday, 22 September 09
SHORT PERIOD RATE FOR SUPRAMAX WAS AROUND US$ 17,000 PER DAY FOR VESSELS OPENING FAR EAST / SE ASIA - VISTAAR
COALspot.com (Singapore): The dry bulk market continued to be stable with the BDI just dropping by about 5 pct to 2,356 points last week. The change ...
Tuesday, 22 September 09
AUSTRALIA SEES HIGHER ASIAN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS
* Asia '09 imports to rise 3.5%, vs pvs f'cast of 3.3% fall
* Asia 2010 thermal coal imports expected to rise 6.3 pct
* China to become net im ...
Tuesday, 22 September 09
PANAMA CANAL EXPANSION MAY AID COLOMBIA COAL TO ASIA
* Colombia producers hope for growth in Asia shipments
* Panama Canal will allow smaller coal Capesize vessels
* Australia, Indonesia to remain bi ...
Monday, 21 September 09
ACCC SET TO APPROVE NEWCASTLE COAL SHIPPING AGREEMENT
ABC reported that, The competition regulator says it is likely to approve a new agreement over coal loading arrangements at Newcastle.
Australian ...
Friday, 18 September 09
PEABODY ENERGY ESTABLISHES ASIAN COAL TRADING HUB IN SINGAPORE
Peabody Energy announced it has opened an office in Singapore that will serve as the new hub for Peabody COALTRADE International activities in South ...
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
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