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Wednesday, 11 January 17
MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE DERMATIS
 A new year has dawned upon us and it sure promises to be an exciting one which makes it practically impossible to resist the challenge of making a forecast –especially when asked to do the first insight of the year. And given the range of variables ahead, let make it a bit harder; let’s take a closer look on the DRY sector which remains at the forefront of volatility and the inherent liquidity of assets creates paradoxical examples faster than we can justify why it happened.
Many were anticipating a sluggish start to the year due to a strong Q4, markets taking a step back as they digest Trump taking over on 20Jan17 and of course the “inevitable seasonal lullaby” caused by the upcoming Chinese New year -28th January. However, activity levels and appetite for new business thus far point to a different direction. Sentiment remains strongly positive and literature around a much healthier 2017 is already stacking up. Negative fleet growth, lower than expected actual orderbook, higher commodity prices, focus on higher infrastructure spending globally and increasing pressure on older tonnage through a tighter regulatory framework are becoming the flavor of the month and it’s becoming impossible to spot even ONE person that believes that 2017 will be similar –let alone worse- than 2016. Yes, sentiment plays a huge role but before talking about a self-fulfilling prophecy have we really sailed away from Scylla and Charybdis?
With Dow Jones, Nasdaq and other indices worldwide trading at historical highs, it is rather worrisome that Bankers observe such procrastination from investors towards new offerings as well as increasing criticism over the production potential of existing stocks. Most pundits believe that the commodity and energy post-election rally to be largely overvalued and we could soon see its flipside. Continuous delays on the Basel III implementation schedule seem to be short-term “wins” for the banking system but, truth be told, access to finance is not going to change until we see the new system being in place.
2016 was a record-setting year in the post-Lehman year in terms of sales transacted as well as asset value appreciations across all sizes but on the contrary demo activity –especially in the second half of 2016- dropped considerably and, god forbid, if deliveries-demolition balance looks as bad as the graph below, then we might reach a new dead-end. If you add to the equation a rising appetite and itchy fingers lining up for newbuilding orders due to low prices and Tier II regulations, it makes for an explosive “cocktail”.
Finally, don’t forget that when it comes to dry bulk Shipping in the new millennium, the determining factor was, is and will be China and they have two important milestones coming up -ahead of the implementation of its newly voted environmental tax law. Firstly, the timeline and extent of adopting to Basel III regulations and secondly, the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China will be held in Beijing, China in the autumn of 2017. The new 5-year-plan is the focal point of the Chinese economy and hopefully the trigger event for a truly happy year.
All in all, the industry has certainly found a footing BUT we need to remain rational, stay the course of recovery and manage expectations based on the fundamentals that have brought us to the present.
By George Dermatis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 28 September 17
CHINESE GOVERNMENT TO CANCEL DOMESTIC IRON ORE MINING RIGHTS - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
It has been reported that China will cancel roughly one third of its iron ore mining licenses, says Commodore Research & Consultancy in its lat ...
Tuesday, 26 September 17
REDUCING THE RISK OF LIQUEFACTION - IUMI
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Liquefaction is a phenomenon that can take place in granular materials, such as soil or fine ore, where the beh ...
Tuesday, 26 September 17
THE CURRENT HIGHS IN THE DRY BULK FREIGHT MARKET WILL SURELY BE SURPASSED AND BY A CONSIDERABLE MARGIN IN THE NEXT YEAR OR SO - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
The Dry Bulk market con!nues to show a strong face amidst the favorable tail winds being seen, which have helped the Bal!c Dry Index inch above the ...
Monday, 25 September 17
CHOICES FOR SHIPPING AS 2020 APPROACHES? - CLARKSONS
Historically, the fuel of choice for the vast majority of large cargo ships has been heavy fuel oil. But in 2020, sulphur oxide emissions will be c ...
Monday, 25 September 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET ROSE IN ALL SEGMENTS EXCEPT PANAMAX WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market rose in all segments except Panamax week over week. Mainly Cape has supported to boosted up BDI this past week, BD ...
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Showing 1931 to 1935 news of total 6871 |
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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