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Thursday, 05 January 17
UNCHANGED COAL-FIRED TARIFFS PRESSURE CHINA'S GENERATORS - FITCH
 COALspot.com: China's decision to keep on-grid electricity prices from coal-fired power unchanged amid higher coal prices will further squeeze power producers' margins in 2017, says Fitch Ratings. Margins are also expected to suffer as more electricity is sold under direct power sales (DPS) programmes at a discount to the benchmark on-grid tariff as well as from falling plant utilisation levels.
China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said on 4 January 2017 that the benchmark on-grid tariff for coal-fired power will remain unchanged in 2017, despite a strong coal price rally starting from 3Q16.
Fitch further noted that, China introduced a coal price pass-through mechanism in early 2016, which specifies that coal-fired power generators' on-grid tariff will be reviewed at the start of each year to reflect coal price changes in the previous year. In this week's announcement, the NDRC further specified that the average NDRC national coal price index from November 2015 to October 2016 was used as reference to decide the tariff pass-through amount. According to the price formula, on-grid tariff should increase by CNY0.18 cents per kilowatt hour (KWh) to reflect the coal price change in that period. However, changes less than CNY0.2 cent/KWh will not be made, but will accumulate into the next review period.
Although the current Qinghuangdao seaborne coal price is already 15% lower than its peak in 2016 due to NDRC measures to increase coal supply and contain coal prices, it remains more than 30% higher than the average 2016 price as coal prices were much lower in 1H16. We expect coal prices to fall further with policy intervention; however, the average 2017 coal price, especially in 1H17, is likely to be higher than for the same period last year. As such, dark spread - the difference between power tariffs and unit coal costs - for coal-fired power generators will be lower than in 2015 and early-2016.
At the same time, Fitch said, power volumes sold under DPS are increasing. The NDRC reports that power sold under DPS increased to 700 billion KWh in 2016, up from 430 billion KWh in the previous year. This represents around 12% of China's total power demand or 17% of power demand from the energy-intensive secondary industry, which accounted for around 71% of the country's total power consumption in 2016. According to NDRC, the average discount on DPS is around CNY6.4 cent/KWh, which is around 18% of China's national average on-grid tariff.
However, Fitch estimates the discount for power sold under DPS is around 20% in regions with higher power demand and less competition, and 30% or higher in regions that suffer more from power overcapacity. Coal-fired power generators' dark spread is likely to be further squeezed as China aims to expand the scale of DPS in 2017.
We also expect coal-fired power utilisation hours to decline with slowing power demand growth and still-high capacity additions. We expect some smaller players are likely to be loss-making and forced out of the market, while large-scale and highly-efficient power generators or power-heat co-generation generators in regions with stable power demand or access to lower-cost coal will be final winners under these changes taking place in China electricity market, Fitch concluded.
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Tuesday, 18 October 16
PANAMAX: A FAIRLY POSITIVE END TO THE WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize
Things seemed to be moving sideways during the first half of the week, with resistance being felt as owners tried to resist any further ...
Monday, 17 October 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS SOFTENED IN ALL SEGMENTS THIS PAST WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline slightly and ending in a negative note this past ...
Friday, 14 October 16
SUPRAMAXES: DELIVERY SINGAPORE ARE SETTLING AROUND HIGH 6K'S FOR COAL TRIPS TO CHINA VIA INDO - FEARNLEY
Supramax
Wait and see attitude prevailing all over the market.
There have been several fresh cargoes, which have been efficiently covered by ...
Friday, 14 October 16
U.S. SHIPPED 3.3 MMST COAL IN JULY 2016; DECLINE 40% M/M
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.6 million short ton ...
Wednesday, 12 October 16
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
Another Monday has gone by, bringing with it further turbulence for oil. A series of meetings between high-production nations Russia & Saudi Ar ...
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- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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