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Thursday, 05 January 17
UNCHANGED COAL-FIRED TARIFFS PRESSURE CHINA'S GENERATORS - FITCH
 COALspot.com: China's decision to keep on-grid electricity prices from coal-fired power unchanged amid higher coal prices will further squeeze power producers' margins in 2017, says Fitch Ratings. Margins are also expected to suffer as more electricity is sold under direct power sales (DPS) programmes at a discount to the benchmark on-grid tariff as well as from falling plant utilisation levels.
China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said on 4 January 2017 that the benchmark on-grid tariff for coal-fired power will remain unchanged in 2017, despite a strong coal price rally starting from 3Q16.
Fitch further noted that, China introduced a coal price pass-through mechanism in early 2016, which specifies that coal-fired power generators' on-grid tariff will be reviewed at the start of each year to reflect coal price changes in the previous year. In this week's announcement, the NDRC further specified that the average NDRC national coal price index from November 2015 to October 2016 was used as reference to decide the tariff pass-through amount. According to the price formula, on-grid tariff should increase by CNY0.18 cents per kilowatt hour (KWh) to reflect the coal price change in that period. However, changes less than CNY0.2 cent/KWh will not be made, but will accumulate into the next review period.
Although the current Qinghuangdao seaborne coal price is already 15% lower than its peak in 2016 due to NDRC measures to increase coal supply and contain coal prices, it remains more than 30% higher than the average 2016 price as coal prices were much lower in 1H16. We expect coal prices to fall further with policy intervention; however, the average 2017 coal price, especially in 1H17, is likely to be higher than for the same period last year. As such, dark spread - the difference between power tariffs and unit coal costs - for coal-fired power generators will be lower than in 2015 and early-2016.
At the same time, Fitch said, power volumes sold under DPS are increasing. The NDRC reports that power sold under DPS increased to 700 billion KWh in 2016, up from 430 billion KWh in the previous year. This represents around 12% of China's total power demand or 17% of power demand from the energy-intensive secondary industry, which accounted for around 71% of the country's total power consumption in 2016. According to NDRC, the average discount on DPS is around CNY6.4 cent/KWh, which is around 18% of China's national average on-grid tariff.
However, Fitch estimates the discount for power sold under DPS is around 20% in regions with higher power demand and less competition, and 30% or higher in regions that suffer more from power overcapacity. Coal-fired power generators' dark spread is likely to be further squeezed as China aims to expand the scale of DPS in 2017.
We also expect coal-fired power utilisation hours to decline with slowing power demand growth and still-high capacity additions. We expect some smaller players are likely to be loss-making and forced out of the market, while large-scale and highly-efficient power generators or power-heat co-generation generators in regions with stable power demand or access to lower-cost coal will be final winners under these changes taking place in China electricity market, Fitch concluded.
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Wednesday, 14 December 16
20/20 VISION! - JOHN N. COTZIAS
2020; A year that could be changing shipping. In early November, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) announced that it would set a 0.5% s ...
Tuesday, 13 December 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET MAY WELL BE SHOWING SIGNS OF HEADING FOR ITS DOWNWARD CORRECTIVE PHASE - ALLIED
2016 has been a tough market for dry bulkers and through these difficult earnings, we have seen some of the lowest prices being noted historically ...
Tuesday, 13 December 16
COAL DEMAND GROWTH TO STALL AS APPETITE WANES, ACCORDING TO IEA
Growth in global coal demand will stall over the next five years as the appetite for the fuel wanes and other energy sources gain ground, according ...
Monday, 12 December 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION TOTALS 16.3 MMST, UP 7.4% - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.3 million short ton ...
Monday, 12 December 16
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOFT THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline this past week and ending on a negative note week ...
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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