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Thursday, 05 January 17
UNCHANGED COAL-FIRED TARIFFS PRESSURE CHINA'S GENERATORS - FITCH
 COALspot.com: China's decision to keep on-grid electricity prices from coal-fired power unchanged amid higher coal prices will further squeeze power producers' margins in 2017, says Fitch Ratings. Margins are also expected to suffer as more electricity is sold under direct power sales (DPS) programmes at a discount to the benchmark on-grid tariff as well as from falling plant utilisation levels.
China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said on 4 January 2017 that the benchmark on-grid tariff for coal-fired power will remain unchanged in 2017, despite a strong coal price rally starting from 3Q16.
Fitch further noted that, China introduced a coal price pass-through mechanism in early 2016, which specifies that coal-fired power generators' on-grid tariff will be reviewed at the start of each year to reflect coal price changes in the previous year. In this week's announcement, the NDRC further specified that the average NDRC national coal price index from November 2015 to October 2016 was used as reference to decide the tariff pass-through amount. According to the price formula, on-grid tariff should increase by CNY0.18 cents per kilowatt hour (KWh) to reflect the coal price change in that period. However, changes less than CNY0.2 cent/KWh will not be made, but will accumulate into the next review period.
Although the current Qinghuangdao seaborne coal price is already 15% lower than its peak in 2016 due to NDRC measures to increase coal supply and contain coal prices, it remains more than 30% higher than the average 2016 price as coal prices were much lower in 1H16. We expect coal prices to fall further with policy intervention; however, the average 2017 coal price, especially in 1H17, is likely to be higher than for the same period last year. As such, dark spread - the difference between power tariffs and unit coal costs - for coal-fired power generators will be lower than in 2015 and early-2016.
At the same time, Fitch said, power volumes sold under DPS are increasing. The NDRC reports that power sold under DPS increased to 700 billion KWh in 2016, up from 430 billion KWh in the previous year. This represents around 12% of China's total power demand or 17% of power demand from the energy-intensive secondary industry, which accounted for around 71% of the country's total power consumption in 2016. According to NDRC, the average discount on DPS is around CNY6.4 cent/KWh, which is around 18% of China's national average on-grid tariff.
However, Fitch estimates the discount for power sold under DPS is around 20% in regions with higher power demand and less competition, and 30% or higher in regions that suffer more from power overcapacity. Coal-fired power generators' dark spread is likely to be further squeezed as China aims to expand the scale of DPS in 2017.
We also expect coal-fired power utilisation hours to decline with slowing power demand growth and still-high capacity additions. We expect some smaller players are likely to be loss-making and forced out of the market, while large-scale and highly-efficient power generators or power-heat co-generation generators in regions with stable power demand or access to lower-cost coal will be final winners under these changes taking place in China electricity market, Fitch concluded.
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Monday, 16 January 17
WHY THE SOLUTION TO INDIA'S ENERGY CHALLENGE LIES IN COAL POWER PLANTS - BENJAMIN SPORTON
India’s huge development and energy challenges mean there are economic and development arguments for investing in new coal power plants for t ...
Friday, 13 January 17
U.S. COAL PRICES TO INCREASE IN 2017 AND IN 2018 - EIA
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production declined by 158 million short tons (MMst) (18%) in 2016, to 739 MMst, which would be the lowe ...
Friday, 13 January 17
U.S. COAL IMPORTS IN THIRD QUARTER 2016 TOTALED 2.7 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 13.8 million short ton ...
Thursday, 12 January 17
ASIA: COAL'S FUTURE - BENJAMIN SPORTON
As economies develop and the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are realised, demand for energy will increase as more peopl ...
Wednesday, 11 January 17
MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE DERMATIS
A new year has dawned upon us and it sure promises to be an exciting one which makes it practically impossible to resist the challenge of making a ...
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Coal Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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