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Thursday, 05 January 17
UNCHANGED COAL-FIRED TARIFFS PRESSURE CHINA'S GENERATORS - FITCH
 COALspot.com: China's decision to keep on-grid electricity prices from coal-fired power unchanged amid higher coal prices will further squeeze power producers' margins in 2017, says Fitch Ratings. Margins are also expected to suffer as more electricity is sold under direct power sales (DPS) programmes at a discount to the benchmark on-grid tariff as well as from falling plant utilisation levels.
China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said on 4 January 2017 that the benchmark on-grid tariff for coal-fired power will remain unchanged in 2017, despite a strong coal price rally starting from 3Q16.
Fitch further noted that, China introduced a coal price pass-through mechanism in early 2016, which specifies that coal-fired power generators' on-grid tariff will be reviewed at the start of each year to reflect coal price changes in the previous year. In this week's announcement, the NDRC further specified that the average NDRC national coal price index from November 2015 to October 2016 was used as reference to decide the tariff pass-through amount. According to the price formula, on-grid tariff should increase by CNY0.18 cents per kilowatt hour (KWh) to reflect the coal price change in that period. However, changes less than CNY0.2 cent/KWh will not be made, but will accumulate into the next review period.
Although the current Qinghuangdao seaborne coal price is already 15% lower than its peak in 2016 due to NDRC measures to increase coal supply and contain coal prices, it remains more than 30% higher than the average 2016 price as coal prices were much lower in 1H16. We expect coal prices to fall further with policy intervention; however, the average 2017 coal price, especially in 1H17, is likely to be higher than for the same period last year. As such, dark spread - the difference between power tariffs and unit coal costs - for coal-fired power generators will be lower than in 2015 and early-2016.
At the same time, Fitch said, power volumes sold under DPS are increasing. The NDRC reports that power sold under DPS increased to 700 billion KWh in 2016, up from 430 billion KWh in the previous year. This represents around 12% of China's total power demand or 17% of power demand from the energy-intensive secondary industry, which accounted for around 71% of the country's total power consumption in 2016. According to NDRC, the average discount on DPS is around CNY6.4 cent/KWh, which is around 18% of China's national average on-grid tariff.
However, Fitch estimates the discount for power sold under DPS is around 20% in regions with higher power demand and less competition, and 30% or higher in regions that suffer more from power overcapacity. Coal-fired power generators' dark spread is likely to be further squeezed as China aims to expand the scale of DPS in 2017.
We also expect coal-fired power utilisation hours to decline with slowing power demand growth and still-high capacity additions. We expect some smaller players are likely to be loss-making and forced out of the market, while large-scale and highly-efficient power generators or power-heat co-generation generators in regions with stable power demand or access to lower-cost coal will be final winners under these changes taking place in China electricity market, Fitch concluded.
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Friday, 05 January 24
BANGLADESH’S 2023 COAL-FIRED POWER OUTPUT TRIPLED, EASING SHORTAGES - REUTERS
Bangladesh nearly tripled its coal-fired power output in 2023, a Reuters analysis of government data showed, helping it tide over the worst power s ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
COAL TRADE CONTINUES TO HEAD EAST - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The global coal trade, once concentrated in the Pacific and Atlantic basins, is undergoing a significant transformation, as highlighted in the Inte ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
COAL CARGOES: AVOIDING EXPLOSION AND SELF-HEATING - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Despite its contribution to greenhouse gas emissions, global coal consumption climbed to an all-time high in 2022 and is ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
SINOPEC FORECASTS CHINA’S COAL CONSUMPTION TO PEAK AROUND 2025 - REUTERS
China Petrochemical Corp, or Sinopec, expects coal consumption to peak around 2025 at 4.37 billion metric tons, the state energy group said in an o ...
Thursday, 07 December 23
CHINA TO SET UP COAL PRODUCTION RESERVE TO STABILISE PRICES - REUTERS
China will establish a back-up coal production system by 2027 to stabilise prices and secure coal supply, the state planner said on Wednesday, even ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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