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Thursday, 05 January 17
UNCHANGED COAL-FIRED TARIFFS PRESSURE CHINA'S GENERATORS - FITCH
 COALspot.com: China's decision to keep on-grid electricity prices from coal-fired power unchanged amid higher coal prices will further squeeze power producers' margins in 2017, says Fitch Ratings. Margins are also expected to suffer as more electricity is sold under direct power sales (DPS) programmes at a discount to the benchmark on-grid tariff as well as from falling plant utilisation levels.
China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said on 4 January 2017 that the benchmark on-grid tariff for coal-fired power will remain unchanged in 2017, despite a strong coal price rally starting from 3Q16.
Fitch further noted that, China introduced a coal price pass-through mechanism in early 2016, which specifies that coal-fired power generators' on-grid tariff will be reviewed at the start of each year to reflect coal price changes in the previous year. In this week's announcement, the NDRC further specified that the average NDRC national coal price index from November 2015 to October 2016 was used as reference to decide the tariff pass-through amount. According to the price formula, on-grid tariff should increase by CNY0.18 cents per kilowatt hour (KWh) to reflect the coal price change in that period. However, changes less than CNY0.2 cent/KWh will not be made, but will accumulate into the next review period.
Although the current Qinghuangdao seaborne coal price is already 15% lower than its peak in 2016 due to NDRC measures to increase coal supply and contain coal prices, it remains more than 30% higher than the average 2016 price as coal prices were much lower in 1H16. We expect coal prices to fall further with policy intervention; however, the average 2017 coal price, especially in 1H17, is likely to be higher than for the same period last year. As such, dark spread - the difference between power tariffs and unit coal costs - for coal-fired power generators will be lower than in 2015 and early-2016.
At the same time, Fitch said, power volumes sold under DPS are increasing. The NDRC reports that power sold under DPS increased to 700 billion KWh in 2016, up from 430 billion KWh in the previous year. This represents around 12% of China's total power demand or 17% of power demand from the energy-intensive secondary industry, which accounted for around 71% of the country's total power consumption in 2016. According to NDRC, the average discount on DPS is around CNY6.4 cent/KWh, which is around 18% of China's national average on-grid tariff.
However, Fitch estimates the discount for power sold under DPS is around 20% in regions with higher power demand and less competition, and 30% or higher in regions that suffer more from power overcapacity. Coal-fired power generators' dark spread is likely to be further squeezed as China aims to expand the scale of DPS in 2017.
We also expect coal-fired power utilisation hours to decline with slowing power demand growth and still-high capacity additions. We expect some smaller players are likely to be loss-making and forced out of the market, while large-scale and highly-efficient power generators or power-heat co-generation generators in regions with stable power demand or access to lower-cost coal will be final winners under these changes taking place in China electricity market, Fitch concluded.
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Friday, 06 September 24
REBOUND IN OIL DEMAND COULD LIFT MARKET IN LATTER HALF OF 2024 - BIMCO
Supply/demand
Based on a strong second half demand, the supply/balance is forecast to strengthen in 2024 but weaken slightly in 2025 as n ...
Friday, 06 September 24
GLOBAL SEABORNE LNG TRADE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE LAST YEAR - BANCHERO COSTA
Global seaborne LNG trade has continued to increase last year, helped also by the events in Ukraine which forced Europe to diversify away from Russ ...
Wednesday, 28 August 24
SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS INTO INDIA INCREASED BY +9.9% Y-O-Y TO 146.6 MLN T - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace over the past year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels said Banchero Costa Research in its lates ...
Tuesday, 06 August 24
EXERCISE CAUTION WITH AMMONIA SWITCH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A new study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has thrown a spanner into the plan to transition ships from diesel fuel to ammonia ...
Friday, 02 August 24
ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: COAL AND NATURAL GAS PRICES REACH RECORD HIGHS - WORLD BANK
The recent surge in natural gas and coal prices has been so swift that the main benchmarks were roughly three times higher in 2022Q2 compared to a ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- White Energy Company Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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