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Thursday, 22 December 16
INDONESIA LACK OF EXPORT TO INDIA THIS WEEK - FERNLEYS
PanamaxSupramax
While the Atlantic is keeping up with rates, the Pacific has been weaker says Astrup Fernley.

According to Astrup Fernley, backhaul rates has dropped to 2-3k first 65/70 days and balance at around high 6k. Indo/China coal trip is now paying around mid 6k levels, while steels N. China to SE Asia is around mid 5k level. The Atlantic market is coming off a bit. Recent TA levels has being close to 18k, while Med/Bsea to NCSA/USG has been paying around 9k. On period, a Supra delivery in Far East is being fixed around 7k for short period and tick more for 1-year, while Ultras are achieving close to 1k more for same.

Panamax
Commenting on Panamax, Astrup Fernley says quiet start but in steep decline, especially in the North Atlantic where rates are halved in 10 days. T/A passing 8k mid-week, and owners struggle to cover prior the holidays. Fronthaul limited, incl from the USG at about USD 30, alt 12+200. ECSA about 9+400 APS. Nopac ppt req covered, some mid Jan onwards open. Offers hovering around mid 6-7k while chtrs bidding mid/high 5’s upto 6k, some even bid APS.

Astrup Fernley further noted that Indonesia lack of export to India this week, spot cargo mainly covered and chtrs slowly moving onto early Jan. Australia and S. Africa lack of enquiries while tonnage list growing. Period interest still around but chtrs aiming lower while owners still reluctant to discount. Sentiment is negative short term.

Capesize
After the 5TC have dropped from USD 19,515 to USD 6570 over the last 4 weeks it finally found some support, says Astrup Fernley.

All routes have improved, especially the Atlantic front haul that have been fixed at mid-teens. Also the cargo count for iron ore out of South Africa have increased. That said activity is thin with Christmas just around the corner.


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