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Wednesday, 07 December 16
IT'S BEEN YET ANOTHER TURBULENT COUPLE OF DAYS..... - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It’s been yet another turbulent couple of days, with a significant number of news headlines shaking up markets.
On Friday we had the OPEC agreement coming to light, with all members and Russia agreeing to cut down production outputs. This has had a fairly imminent impact with Brent crude oil rising to above US$ 55 a barrel earlier today, the highest level it has reached in over 16 months, says George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied in his latest weekly report.
George Lazaridis further says, despite the fact that there is still considerable debate as to how the price will trend moving forward, with some estimates reaching as high as US$60 and US$70 a barrel. There is however some skepticism in reference to the effectiveness of this current agreement. There are a number of major non-member producers which could threaten the effectiveness of this deal, while there is even a threat from within OPEC itself. The last time that a quote was set, members exceeded their individual quotes for 20 out of the 24 months before the quote being eventually scrapped at the end of 2015.
Allied Shipbroking’s weekly report further noted that it wasn’t all about oil this week, with the Referendum in Italy on Sunday taking main stage and threatening stability with in Europe and the Euro are a once again. After losing the Referendum, Italy ’s Prime Minister, Matteo Renzi, is now anticipated to offer his resignation to the President Sergio Mattarella, who in turn will have to weigh the options and see how well balanced the governing party is to support another prime minister while seeking to avoid the option of early elections taking place. This was initially a major hit on the Euro, with early hours trading on Monday seeing a considerable drop. Things however took a quick shift as markets started to re-question the significance this could have on the market, while it also seems as though markets had already priced in the outcome of the referendum several weeks in advance seeing that the “No ” vote was ahead in most pre-voting polls.
According to George Lazaridis, all these developments have only gone towards further strengthening the U.S. Dollar which now seems to be become a threat in itself for most of the emerging markets. Major markets such as Europe and Japan cheer on for a stronger dollar, which has the benefit of allowing them to improve their trading terms while also helping keep pressure on inflation. Things are very different for most emerging markets however which will have to battle out with their dollar denominated debt held by both governments and companies, while there are concerns that a stronger dollar will also create a shortage of credit for these markets. The fear is that the overall net effect could be a dampener on trade , though this is disputable as in a state were the OECD economies start to generate higher economic growth figures they could also produce the consumption needed to drive trade and growth for emerging markets and help them counter any negative offset produced in the short -run by a stronger dollar.
As for shipping, the effects are also mixed. On the one-hand you have worries as to how trade could be effected by both the strengthening of the price of crude oil and the stronger U.S. Dollar, though this is nothing new for us given that we have been in a “limbo ” state of uncertainty for several years now. The most imminent effect will likely be on asset prices, with several ship owners with debt denominated in currencies other the U.S. dollars (e.g. Japanese owners) likely to look more favourably on any sale option as the U.S. dollar strengthens. This however could have an unintended consequence, with a bigger selection of high specification units driving the buying frenzy further in markets such as that of dry bulkers, George Lazaridis concluded.
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Wednesday, 28 September 16
WITHOUT A DOUBT FREIGHT RATES HAVE MOVED UP A BIT TO HEALTHIER LEVELS - INTERMODAL
As we are approaching Q4, it is interesting to perform a review of the last nine months with respect to the second-hand prices of Supramax and Pana ...
Tuesday, 27 September 16
THE CAPESIZE RATE OF INCREASE HAS BEEN IMPRESSIVE, UP 39% W/W AND 123% MONTH TO DATE - ALLIED
The Dry bulk market has seen a rare shine in its performance as the capesize sector manages to rally at an unprecedented rate compared to its perfo ...
Monday, 26 September 16
COAL PRICES HAVE BEEN MOVING STEADILY HIGHER AFTER YEARS OF DECLINE
COALspot.com: A rally in thermal coal prices over the past few months, after years of decline, is still continuing and it is expected to rally at l ...
Monday, 26 September 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS FIRM; ALL SEGMENTS WERE UP THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose and ending in a positive note this past week. The BD ...
Friday, 23 September 16
"COLLATERAL LIES" DO NOT NECESSARILY UNDERMINE AN INSURANCE CLAIM
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
An insured was not precluded from recovering under an insurance policy even though it had made a false statement during t ...
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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