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Tuesday, 22 November 16
THE COMMODITIES MARKETS HAD SHOWED GREATER PROMISE SINCE THE SUMMER PERIOD - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 We have all borne witness to the sluggish pace of trade growth witnessed during the course of the past 4 years as well as the even slower pace noted within to 2016. Given the glut in tonnage supply that has accumulated since 2011, the shipping industry has found it very difficult to find a stable foothold from where to keep itself in “normal operations” and with viable earnings, says George Lazaridis Head of Market Research of Allied Shipping.
George Lazaridis further said, what has made 2015 & 2016 so problematic is that the balance between demand and supply went further off course as trade growth almost came to an absolute halt. This growing concern had been in part expressed in the worries that were being voiced over the outcome of the U.S. elections, with many prominent economists and economic analyst in major organizations seeing a further deterioration of the situation as major countries around the world start to turn to more inward focused economic policies. Just one day after the results came out and we started to see a very different picture emerge in the markets, said George Lazaridis.
He further noted that the trade in most bulk commodities was instantly boosted, with freight rates in both the dry bulk and tanker markets for the majority of size groups shooting up considerably. At the same time, commodity prices were in for a major rally, with most prominent that of coal which even managed to peak at some point above US$ 100 per tonne. Things have quieted down considerably on all fronts since then and it looks as though we are heading towards some normality which is still at better levels than it was one month prior. Where did all this optimism come from however and does it have enough basis for it to match a more long-term trend?
George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied Shipping further said this quick move seems to have been generated by a series of events that took place triggering a domino move that boosted things further and further, urging the speculators to further fuel the market. For one we had the basis of most of the pre-election talks by Mr. Trump that referred to a splurge of infrastructure spending in the U.S. during his presidency. Such a splurge would need to be adequately fed by bulk commodities such as steel, cement and other vital bulk commodities used in construction. As the market moved more bullish for these commodities and several traders went into stockpiling mode in order to be adequately stocked for the proposed boom in demand, the second wave of effects started to take hold.
According to George Lazaridis, a mass of investors had already started to flee out of several emerging markets (such as Mexico) and starting to head towards the commodities markets which had shows greater promise since the summer period. As they flocked they boosted prices ever further and with prices rising quick a surge was generated (essentially a mini bubble) as traders looked to move quick before prices got too hot. Similarly, traders in many economies which are heavy importers of these commodities where in an even bigger rush as the strengthening dollar amplified the price hike even more.
These price hikes in commodities, according to George Lazaridis, were to the main benefit of ship owners as the cost of freight became an ever more insignificant portion in the whole equation, taking second place to the speed with which a trader could book the cargo he was after.
This speculatively fueled rally has boosted the market significantly however it seems as though it has run its course for now. That’s not to say that an imminent collapse is now in sight. It looks as though trade might hold at much better levels for the remainder of the final quarter of 2016 than it did a year ago. As to how well it will cope in the first quarter however, is another story altogether,George Lazaridis concluded.
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Tuesday, 10 January 17
SHIPPING MARKET 2017
After having entered into a New Year, fresh hopes seem to be high for this to be the turning point in the market that many have been looking forwar ...
Monday, 09 January 17
FFA SUPRAMAX: Q1 AND Q2 TRADING UP TO $7100 WHILE CAL17 PRINTED $7250 - FIS
Capesize
Sentiment has swung quickly on capes and although there appears to be a very short list for open tonnage in the Atlantic Feb dates appea ...
Monday, 09 January 17
COAL MARKETS WERE UNEXPECTEDLY ONE OF THE STRONGEST PERFORMERS OF 2016 - SGX
COALspot.com: Coal markets were unexpectedly one of the strongest performers of 2016, with domestic production restrictions in China as well as sup ...
Monday, 09 January 17
THE INDONESIA COAL BENCHMARK PRICE SLIDES AFTER THE RECENT RALLY
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal benchmark price slides in January 2017 after the recent rally. The government declared benchmark prices for Indone ...
Friday, 06 January 17
U.S. WEEKLY ESTIMATED COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED APPROXIMATELY 12.4 MMST; DOWN 18.4% W/W - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 12.4 million short ton ...
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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