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Tuesday, 22 November 16
THE COMMODITIES MARKETS HAD SHOWED GREATER PROMISE SINCE THE SUMMER PERIOD - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 We have all borne witness to the sluggish pace of trade growth witnessed during the course of the past 4 years as well as the even slower pace noted within to 2016. Given the glut in tonnage supply that has accumulated since 2011, the shipping industry has found it very difficult to find a stable foothold from where to keep itself in “normal operations” and with viable earnings, says George Lazaridis Head of Market Research of Allied Shipping.
George Lazaridis further said, what has made 2015 & 2016 so problematic is that the balance between demand and supply went further off course as trade growth almost came to an absolute halt. This growing concern had been in part expressed in the worries that were being voiced over the outcome of the U.S. elections, with many prominent economists and economic analyst in major organizations seeing a further deterioration of the situation as major countries around the world start to turn to more inward focused economic policies. Just one day after the results came out and we started to see a very different picture emerge in the markets, said George Lazaridis.
He further noted that the trade in most bulk commodities was instantly boosted, with freight rates in both the dry bulk and tanker markets for the majority of size groups shooting up considerably. At the same time, commodity prices were in for a major rally, with most prominent that of coal which even managed to peak at some point above US$ 100 per tonne. Things have quieted down considerably on all fronts since then and it looks as though we are heading towards some normality which is still at better levels than it was one month prior. Where did all this optimism come from however and does it have enough basis for it to match a more long-term trend?
George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied Shipping further said this quick move seems to have been generated by a series of events that took place triggering a domino move that boosted things further and further, urging the speculators to further fuel the market. For one we had the basis of most of the pre-election talks by Mr. Trump that referred to a splurge of infrastructure spending in the U.S. during his presidency. Such a splurge would need to be adequately fed by bulk commodities such as steel, cement and other vital bulk commodities used in construction. As the market moved more bullish for these commodities and several traders went into stockpiling mode in order to be adequately stocked for the proposed boom in demand, the second wave of effects started to take hold.
According to George Lazaridis, a mass of investors had already started to flee out of several emerging markets (such as Mexico) and starting to head towards the commodities markets which had shows greater promise since the summer period. As they flocked they boosted prices ever further and with prices rising quick a surge was generated (essentially a mini bubble) as traders looked to move quick before prices got too hot. Similarly, traders in many economies which are heavy importers of these commodities where in an even bigger rush as the strengthening dollar amplified the price hike even more.
These price hikes in commodities, according to George Lazaridis, were to the main benefit of ship owners as the cost of freight became an ever more insignificant portion in the whole equation, taking second place to the speed with which a trader could book the cargo he was after.
This speculatively fueled rally has boosted the market significantly however it seems as though it has run its course for now. That’s not to say that an imminent collapse is now in sight. It looks as though trade might hold at much better levels for the remainder of the final quarter of 2016 than it did a year ago. As to how well it will cope in the first quarter however, is another story altogether,George Lazaridis concluded.
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Friday, 02 August 24
COAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: FALLING PRICES AMID RECORD-HIGH OUTPUT - WORLD BANK
Coal prices inched up in May (m/m) following an 8 percent decline in 2024Q1. The Australian and South African benchmarks have plummeted more ...
Friday, 26 July 24
FUELEU MARITME IS COMING. IS YOUR CHARTERPARTY READY? - GARD
With less than six months to implementation of FuelEU Maritime in EU and EEA trades, there has been little published advice regarding how to alloca ...
Thursday, 04 July 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION RISES 14% IN JUNE - PTI
The country’s coal production rose by 14.49% to 84.63 million tonne (MT) in June. The country’s coal output was 73.92 MT in June last f ...
Tuesday, 02 July 24
NTPC CAPTIVE COAL OUTPUT GROWS 15% IN Q1; DESPATCH RISES 17%
State-owned NTPC on Monday reported a 15 per cent year-on-year increase in the production of coal from captives mines to 9.862 metric million tonne ...
Friday, 28 June 24
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 400,000 MT OF MINIMUM 4000 NCV COAL FOR FIVE YEARS
Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), is inviting bids for total 400,000 MT of Low Calorific Value Coal for 5 years starting from July 2024 until ...
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Coal Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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