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Friday, 28 October 16
STEAM COAL IMPORTS: CHINA AND INDIA'S ROLE REVERSALS - BEN TRIMMEL
 While a sharp decline in European imports is a key driver of the expected fall in steam coal trade this year, China and India remain leading actors, together accounting for a third of global seaborne steam coal imports. In recent years the two have alternated between the ‘hero’ and ‘villain’ roles in coal trade, with either firm import growth supporting volumes, or a decline stifling steam coal trade growth, said Ben Trimmel of Clarksons in its latest analysis report published on Clarkson Shipping Intelligence Network.
China: From Hero To Zero
China has enjoyed a lead role in steam coal trade in recent years, accounting for 32% of global seaborne import growth in 2010-14. However, the country’s slowing economic growth, stricter coal quality regulations and an 11% y-o-y rise in domestic steam coal output to 3bn tons triggered a 33% drop in Chinese steam coal imports to 128mt in 2015. This represented a five-year low and a change in China’s role in steam coal trade.
India: A New Hope?
Meanwhile, Indian steam coal imports rose 13% y-o-y in 1H 2015 and it briefly seemed that India might fill the void left by China’s shrinking imports. However, an 8% y-o-y rise in Indian steam coal output to around 0.5bn tonnes in 2015 drove a 3% drop in Indian steam coal imports in the full year. This has continued into 2016, with a 13% y-o-y fall in imports to 64mt in January-May. It seems that hopes of a new steam coal ‘hero’ emerging might have been premature.
The Return Of The King?
The drop in Indian steam coal imports in early 2016 coincided with a recovery in Chinese imports. Beijing introduced strict policies to cut coal output in March, capping coal mining activity at 276 days pa, leading to a 10% y-o-y decline in Chinese steam coal output in January-July 2016 and a significant increase in coal prices and imports. The 5,550 kcal Qinhuangdao FOB spot price hit a 20 month high of $82/t in early October, while Chinese steam coal imports rose 12% y-o-y to 98mt in the first eight months of the year.
An Uncertain Future
However, in October, Beijing loosened its coal output regulations to help stabilize coal prices. While the full impact of this measure is unclear, it poses a downside risk to China’s future steam coal import demand. Nevertheless, an atypically cold winter is currently expected to help support an 8% rise in Chinese steam coal imports to 138mt in full-year 2016. Meanwhile, Indian steam coal output fell 8% y-o-y in August-September 2016, largely due to poor weather conditions and destocking at Indian power plants. While reports indicate limited Indian steam coal import demand in recent months, domestic output disruptions present a potential upside for imports in the near future. However, given the downturn in the year to date, Indian steam coal imports are still projected to drop 6% to 157mt in 2016.
By Ben Trimmel, Clarksons Shipping Intelligence Network
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Thursday, 15 September 16
CAPESIZE: LAST WEEK ENDED ON A VERY STRONG NOTE MAINLY DRIVEN BY A ACTIVE BRAZIL MARKET - FEARNLYS
Supramax
With holidays in the eastern hemisphere beginning this week, the sentiment and activity level has been decreasing.
In the Pacific, ...
Wednesday, 14 September 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET REACHED LEVELS LAST SEEN BACK IN 2015 - INTERMODAL
In an earlier column we commented that we are undergoing “shipping’s new (ab)normal” with constrained financing, shift in demand ...
Wednesday, 14 September 16
THE PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 12.48 MMT OF COAL IN AUGUST; AVERAGE SELLING PRICE WAS $AU 83.33
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU $1,040.4 ...
Tuesday, 13 September 16
CAPESIZE: BIG STRENGTH SEEN IN THE MARKET THIS WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize - Big strength seen in the market this week, with an upbeat in sentiment amongst owners helping pull up rates fairly quickly and many hold ...
Monday, 12 September 16
THE CAPE MARKET HAS GAINS ON WEEK; THE CAPE INDEX SETTLING AT 1566 POINTS ON FRIDAY
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose and ending in a positive note this past week. The BD ...
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- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Coal Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The University of Queensland
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
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