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Monday, 15 August 16
DRY BULK: 2017 COULD MARK THE START OF LOWER SHIP DELIVERIES HELPING TONNAGE SUPPLY ISSUES IN THE MARKET, SAYS SHIPOWNER - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 Dry bulk owner Pacific Basin, mainly active in the Handysize and Supramax trades appeared optimistic in its analysis of the prospects of the dry bulk market moving forward. In short, high scrapping activity, lower ship deliveries from 2017 onwards, as a result of negligible newbuilding activity and increased slippage, could lead to a significant improvement of the demand/supply balance of the market moving forward.
According to Pacific Basin, “Handysize and Supramax spot market rates averaged US$3,900 and US$4,570 per day net respectively in the first half of 2016, representing a 22% and 27% decline in average earnings year on year. Baltic dry bulk freight market indices continued to decline in early 2016 to new record lows for all bulk carrier types which, in February, all recorded TCE earnings of less than US$3,000 per day. Such level of earnings is below cash operating expenses and conditions are estimated to have been as poor as those of the early 1970s. Freight rates were undermined mainly by a general seasonal and Chinese New Year slowdown in demand, lingering oversupply of dry bulk tonnage and lower Chinese imports of coal. Increased activity after mid-February supported improved market freight rates – more notably in the Atlantic due primarily to increased South American grain exports – albeit from a very low base and resulting in a very weak half-year period overall for dry bulk shipping”.
In terms of supply, Pacific Basin noted that “the global fleet of 25,000-40,000 dwt Handysize and 50,000-60,000 dwt Supramax ships grew 1.4% net and 2.3% net respectively during the half year, and there has been negligible net growth in the dry bulk fleet overall since the seasonal surge in new ship deliveries in January. Following a similar pattern to last year, new ship deliveries in the first half represented 3.6% of existing dry bulk capacity and full-year deliveries are projected to fall significantly short of the scheduled order book. All-time low freight earnings encouraged increased scrapping to 1.8% of existing dry bulk capacity in the first quarter – a level not seen in over 30 years. The second quarter saw a reduced pace of scrapping due to improved freight market conditions. In the half year overall, shipowners opted to delete 2.8% of total dry bulk capacity and 2.5% of Handysize capacity rather than continue to operate their older or poorly designed ships in such depressed trading conditions. For the first time since the 1980s, we observed a meaningful number of vessels withdrawn from the market for short-term idling or longer-term lay-up”.
SHIP VALUES
The ship owner added that “values of benchmark five-year-old and newbuilding Handysize bulk carriers have reduced by 2% and 5% since the start of the year to US$9.3 million and US$19.5 million respectively as estimated by Clarksons Platou, and they appear to have stabilised. The significant gap between newbuilding and secondhand prices continues to discourage new ship ordering activity which will benefit freight market fundamentals in the future. Cancelled or abandoned newbuildings especially from Chinese shipyards are occasionally marketed for sale by shipbuilders at significant discounts”.
KEY DEMAND DEVELOPMENTS
Meanwhile, “year on year, Clarksons Platou estimate dry bulk shipping demand in the first quarter to have increased by 0.4%. Key drivers through the first half included increased iron ore exports – especially from Brazil – as well as growth in Chinese steel exports and bauxite and copper concentrates imports, and strong exports of long-haul South American agricultural products. Chinese imports of seven key minor bulks increased by 5 million tonnes or 4% year on year, reflecting slower growth in Chinese industrial output. Having declined significantly in early 2015, coal volumes have been steadier since a year ago. Reduced bauxite exports from Malaysia have been largely offset by growth in longer haul volumes from Guinea and other Atlantic exporters. US petcoke exports in January to April increased 6% year on year driven by strong growth in Indian demand which has more than offset a decline in volumes to China. Despite the marginally positive year-on-year demand data, a typical seasonal fall in dry bulk trade volumes from the last quarter of 2015 to the first quarter of 2016 contributed to record low freight rates in the first quarter. Overall dry bulk demand improved in the second quarter, particularly in the Atlantic due primarily to increased South American grain exports”, said Pacific Basin.
ORDERBOOK
Finally, “the dry bulk order book has reduced to 15% from 18% a year ago. New ordering for most dry bulk ship types was negligible in the first half of the year which is further increasing pressure on underutilised shipyards. New orders were substantially limited to thirty Valemax ore carriers dedicated to Vale’s own iron ore export trades and primarily built to replace an ageing Very Large Ore Carrier fleet. The significant order book shortfall and slippage continues, and we expect new ship deliveries in the full year 2016 to be similar to last year’s 49 million deadweight tonnes. We expect the absence of new ordering to result in significantly reduced new ship deliveries from next year onwards”, the ship owner concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 12 August 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT ENDING AUGUST 6 FELL SLIGHTLY
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.9 million short ton ...
Thursday, 11 August 16
CAPESIZE THE PACIFIC SIDE IS LOOKING MORE POSITIVE, DRIVEN BY AUSTRALIAN IRON ORE - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Rates continue to be under pressure with index ending up with 639 points and average TC value at USD6,680, said Fearnleys. Fearnleys A/S ...
Thursday, 11 August 16
EIA ESTIMATES THE DELIVERED COAL PRICE TO U.S. ELECTRIC UTILITIES IN 2017 AVERAGED $2.24/MMBTU; $0.05/MMBTU HIGHER THAN 2016 ESTIMATES
Coal Supply
U.S. coal production in July was 65 million short tons (MMst), an 8 MMst (14%) increase from the previous month but 11 MMst (15%) low ...
Wednesday, 10 August 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET KEPT SOFTENING LAST WEEK; WE CAN SEE MUCH HEALTHIER NUMBERS STARTING SEPTEMBER
The Dry Bulk market kept softening last week as we have now started going through the traditionally quieter days of the summer season peak period, ...
Wednesday, 10 August 16
THE INDONESIAN DRAFT NEW MINING LAW - AMENDMENTS TO THE 2009 MINING LAW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
COALspot.com: A draft mining law published by Indonesia's Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources provides use ...
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
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