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Thursday, 11 August 16
EIA ESTIMATES THE DELIVERED COAL PRICE TO U.S. ELECTRIC UTILITIES IN 2017 AVERAGED $2.24/MMBTU; $0.05/MMBTU HIGHER THAN 2016 ESTIMATES
 Coal Supply
U.S. coal production in July was 65 million short tons (MMst), an 8 MMst (14%) increase from the previous month but 11 MMst (15%) lower than in July 2015.
According to short-term energy outlook of EIA, In 2016, coal production is expected to decrease by 163 MMst (18%), which would be the largest decline in terms of both tons and percentage since at least 1949.
EIA further noted in its short-term energy outlook, In 2016, forecast coal production in the Appalachian region and in the Western region declines by 20%, while Interior region production declines by 11%. In 2017, total U.S. coal production is expected to increase by 32 MMst (4%), with almost all of the increase coming from the Appalachian region and the Interior region. Coal in these two regions has the advantage of lower transportation costs and a higher heat content compared with Western region coal.
According to the most recent data, electric power sector coal stockpiles were 196 MMst in May, virtually unchanged from April. The end-of-May coal stocks were 22 MMst (13%) higher than the May 2015 level and 26 MMst (15%) higher than the previous 10-year average for the month. Warmer-than-normal winter temperatures and coal's continuing loss of market share to natural gas for electric power generation contributed to the increase in coal stockpiles. EIA expects that coal stockpiles will decrease over the summer, and inventories will end 2016 at 156 MMst.
Coal Consumption
Commenting on U.S’s coal consumption, EIA says, coal consumption in the electric power sector, which accounts for more than 90% of total U.S. coal consumption, is forecast to decline by 64 MMst (9%) in 2016. The decline is a result of both competition with low-priced natural gas and relatively mild weather in the first half of 2016 that reduced overall electricity generation. Retirements of coal-fired power plants reduce coal-fired generation capacity in the forecast period, primarily in 2016. The retirements are the result of increased competition with natural gas generation and the industry response to the implementation of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS). Coal consumption in the electric power sector is forecast to increase by 17 MMst (3%) in 2017, mostly because of rising natural gas prices coupled with increasing electricity generation.
Coal Trade
U.S’s coal exports of 4.2 MMst in May 2016 were less than 1 MMst (8%) lower than the previous month, but they were almost 3 MMst (38%) lower than the amount exported in May 2015. EIA forecasts U.S. coal exports to decline by 19 MMst (25%) in 2016 to 55 MMst, the lowest level in 10 years. Exports are expected to decline by 4 MMst (8%) in 2017.
Atlantic and Gulf Coast power generators are forecast to maintain their current levels of coal imports, which are primarily from Latin America. Imports are projected to be roughly 11 MMst in both 2016 and 2017.
Coal Prices
EIA estimates that the delivered coal price to electric utilities averaged $2.23/MMBtu in 2015. Forecast prices are $2.19/MMBtu in 2016 and $2.24/MMBtu in 2017. According to EIA's estimated delivered coal price to power plant in 2017 would be higher than 2015 delivered price of $2.23/MMBtu.
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Thursday, 15 September 16
INDONESIA MAY FACE A COAL CRISIS BY 2035!
COALspot.com: Indonesia is the world’s fourth-largest coal producer and the world’s largest thermal coal exporter may face a coal crisi ...
Thursday, 15 September 16
CAPESIZE: LAST WEEK ENDED ON A VERY STRONG NOTE MAINLY DRIVEN BY A ACTIVE BRAZIL MARKET - FEARNLYS
Supramax
With holidays in the eastern hemisphere beginning this week, the sentiment and activity level has been decreasing.
In the Pacific, ...
Wednesday, 14 September 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET REACHED LEVELS LAST SEEN BACK IN 2015 - INTERMODAL
In an earlier column we commented that we are undergoing “shipping’s new (ab)normal” with constrained financing, shift in demand ...
Wednesday, 14 September 16
THE PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 12.48 MMT OF COAL IN AUGUST; AVERAGE SELLING PRICE WAS $AU 83.33
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU $1,040.4 ...
Tuesday, 13 September 16
CAPESIZE: BIG STRENGTH SEEN IN THE MARKET THIS WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize - Big strength seen in the market this week, with an upbeat in sentiment amongst owners helping pull up rates fairly quickly and many hold ...
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Planning Commission, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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