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Wednesday, 10 August 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET KEPT SOFTENING LAST WEEK; WE CAN SEE MUCH HEALTHIER NUMBERS STARTING SEPTEMBER
IntermodalThe Dry Bulk market kept softening last week as we have now started going through the traditionally quieter days of the summer season peak period, says Intermodal in its latest weekly report. However, Intermodal broker further noted that, despite the expected slowdown, the fact that the BDI is not witnessing any wild volatility is slightly encouraging, while if the index holds above the 600 points psychological level throughout the end of the month, we should see much healthier numbers starting September, a usually stronger month in terms of earnings.

The broker noted, the impressive increase in Chinese iron ore imports during the month of July is also leaving some room for hope in regards to demand volumes going forward, as the January-July 2016 figure is reported to be 8.1% up compared to the same period last year. Saying that, one cannot help wonder where would Capesize rates be if this figure had been weaker and of course reaffirms the issue of oversupply that is still very much responsible for hammering earnings for the bigger bulkers.

The Greece based broker further says, it has been a while since the last time rates for Capes over performed the rest of the market. In fact earnings for the size were the only positive exception last week as a particularly busy W. Australia/China route kept things steady overall, while period numbers also suggested a steady Capesize market as well.

Despite the fact that Panamax activity in the USG and North Atlantic finally revived last week, the fact that trading was slow in both the black Sea and East Coast South America markets, drove average earnings for the size down, while similar pressure was noted in the East.

Softer USG and East Coast South America business failed to support Supra earnings last week, while the volume of Handysize orders offered some level of support in most routes despite the evident negative pressure here as well.


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