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Thursday, 14 July 16
SHIPPING'S HALF YEAR REPORT - 'MUST DO BETTER' - CLARKSONS
 It’s the time of year, with the school holidays and end of term approaching, that many pupils will nervously take home their school reports to anxious parents. With the spread of challenges facing the industry, it’s unlikely the shipping markets would achieve many top grades. However some sectors might still achieve an “A” for effort and this week’s analysis reviews the markets’ performance in the first half.
Must Do Better!
Our Graph of the Week compares performance in the first half of 2016 to the averages since the financial crisis, as a barometer of performance against trend. First on the graph is the ClarkSea Index, our average earnings index covering all major sectors, which is 18% down on the average since 2009 and 30% compared to 1H 2015. The index actually finished the mid-year at just $8,575/day, close to its all time low of $7,444/day. Clearly room for improvement.
Heading For Re-Sits?
With widely reported historical lows in the bulker sector in the first half, Capes averaged below $5,000/day in 1H 2016, some 76% below the average since 2009. Containerships fared little better, slumping to 54% below trend while offshore rates were also almost 50% down on trend and generally hovering around OPEX levels. The prevalence of lay-up and stacking makes offshore arguably the most challenged sector at present. LPG rates also moved below trend, with VLGCs averaging $32,000/day, albeit following their stellar performance of 2015. Meanwhile trade is heading towards more muted growth with an expectation of 2.2% in 2016 compared to a trend rate of 3.2%.
“A” For Effort
Reduced fleet growth (1% to reach 1.8 bn dwt), increased demolition and extremely limited newbuild orders should all get an “A” for effort. Although demolition of 29m dwt was slightly below 1H 2012 levels, it was 43% above trend. However orders of 18m dwt and $16bn constituted a 35-year low and 68% down on the average since 2009 (lower than the 19.1m dwt in 1H 2009 and lower still if the Valemax orders of 12m dwt are excluded). Further pain for the shipyards and pressure on newbuild prices seems likely as the year progresses. Sale and Purchase activity was well down in value terms but marginally above trend by tonnage, reflecting the strong buying appetite for bulkers (bulker sales of 21m dwt in 1H 2016, the highest tonnage figure since 1H 2007).
Keep Up The Good Work
Although they eased back during the first half, tanker earnings continued to perform above trend with VLCC rates still averaging around $50,000/day. Product tanker earnings have also eased back somewhat this year but remain above trend, as does our index of chemical tanker earnings. The best performer across shipping was the Ro-Ro market, continuing its improvement from 2015 and 60% above trend, with the Ferry and Cruise markets also generally positive.
So shipping is experiencing some of its toughest conditions since the financial crisis and, despite its many efforts, may well be heading for an appointment with the headmaster (the bankers?).
Have a nice day.
Source: Clarksons
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Wednesday, 13 July 16
EIA FORECASTS U.S. COAL EXPORTS TO DECLINE BY 15 MMST IN 2016 AND BY 4 MMST IN 2017
COALspot.com: U.S. coal production in June was 57 million short tons (MMst), a 6 MMst (13%) increase from May and 9 MMst (14%) lower than in June 2 ...
Wednesday, 13 July 16
2015 VS. 2016; THE DRY BULK DEMOLITION DERBY - JOHN N. COTZIAS
In the first half of the year 373 Bulkers and General Cargo ships were scrapped representing 23.8mil tons of dwt carrying capacity.
Comparing ...
Tuesday, 12 July 16
DUE TO LONG HOLIDAYS, CS COAL INDICES HELD AT THE SAME LEVEL OF THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was flat week over week to averaging $39.98 per ton this past week.
Due to the ...
Monday, 11 July 16
COAL MARKETS SAW IMPROVED PRICES IN H1 2016 - SGX'S COMMODITIES MID-YEAR REFLECTION
COALspot.com: Coal
Coal markets saw improved prices in H1 2016 with the benchmark coking coal and thermal coal spot prices rising 18% and 25%, re ...
Monday, 11 July 16
THE MAIN SEA FREIGHT INDEX, BDI ROSE FURTHER ON 8 JULY DUE TO STRONG DEMAND FOR PANAMAX SHIPS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week. The BDI was up 3.84 percent from las ...
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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