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Thursday, 14 July 16
SHIPPING'S HALF YEAR REPORT - 'MUST DO BETTER' - CLARKSONS
 It’s the time of year, with the school holidays and end of term approaching, that many pupils will nervously take home their school reports to anxious parents. With the spread of challenges facing the industry, it’s unlikely the shipping markets would achieve many top grades. However some sectors might still achieve an “A” for effort and this week’s analysis reviews the markets’ performance in the first half.
Must Do Better!
Our Graph of the Week compares performance in the first half of 2016 to the averages since the financial crisis, as a barometer of performance against trend. First on the graph is the ClarkSea Index, our average earnings index covering all major sectors, which is 18% down on the average since 2009 and 30% compared to 1H 2015. The index actually finished the mid-year at just $8,575/day, close to its all time low of $7,444/day. Clearly room for improvement.
Heading For Re-Sits?
With widely reported historical lows in the bulker sector in the first half, Capes averaged below $5,000/day in 1H 2016, some 76% below the average since 2009. Containerships fared little better, slumping to 54% below trend while offshore rates were also almost 50% down on trend and generally hovering around OPEX levels. The prevalence of lay-up and stacking makes offshore arguably the most challenged sector at present. LPG rates also moved below trend, with VLGCs averaging $32,000/day, albeit following their stellar performance of 2015. Meanwhile trade is heading towards more muted growth with an expectation of 2.2% in 2016 compared to a trend rate of 3.2%.
“A” For Effort
Reduced fleet growth (1% to reach 1.8 bn dwt), increased demolition and extremely limited newbuild orders should all get an “A” for effort. Although demolition of 29m dwt was slightly below 1H 2012 levels, it was 43% above trend. However orders of 18m dwt and $16bn constituted a 35-year low and 68% down on the average since 2009 (lower than the 19.1m dwt in 1H 2009 and lower still if the Valemax orders of 12m dwt are excluded). Further pain for the shipyards and pressure on newbuild prices seems likely as the year progresses. Sale and Purchase activity was well down in value terms but marginally above trend by tonnage, reflecting the strong buying appetite for bulkers (bulker sales of 21m dwt in 1H 2016, the highest tonnage figure since 1H 2007).
Keep Up The Good Work
Although they eased back during the first half, tanker earnings continued to perform above trend with VLCC rates still averaging around $50,000/day. Product tanker earnings have also eased back somewhat this year but remain above trend, as does our index of chemical tanker earnings. The best performer across shipping was the Ro-Ro market, continuing its improvement from 2015 and 60% above trend, with the Ferry and Cruise markets also generally positive.
So shipping is experiencing some of its toughest conditions since the financial crisis and, despite its many efforts, may well be heading for an appointment with the headmaster (the bankers?).
Have a nice day.
Source: Clarksons
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Wednesday, 14 December 16
INTERNATIONAL TRIBUNAL DISMISSED CHURCHILL MINING'S DAMAGES CLAIM AGAINST REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA
The Directors of Churchill Mining plc advise that, the ICSID Tribunal (“Tribunal”) granted Indonesia’s application to dismiss the ...
Wednesday, 14 December 16
20/20 VISION! - JOHN N. COTZIAS
2020; A year that could be changing shipping. In early November, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) announced that it would set a 0.5% s ...
Tuesday, 13 December 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET MAY WELL BE SHOWING SIGNS OF HEADING FOR ITS DOWNWARD CORRECTIVE PHASE - ALLIED
2016 has been a tough market for dry bulkers and through these difficult earnings, we have seen some of the lowest prices being noted historically ...
Tuesday, 13 December 16
COAL DEMAND GROWTH TO STALL AS APPETITE WANES, ACCORDING TO IEA
Growth in global coal demand will stall over the next five years as the appetite for the fuel wanes and other energy sources gain ground, according ...
Monday, 12 December 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION TOTALS 16.3 MMST, UP 7.4% - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.3 million short ton ...
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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