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Thursday, 14 July 16
SHIPPING'S HALF YEAR REPORT - 'MUST DO BETTER' - CLARKSONS
 It’s the time of year, with the school holidays and end of term approaching, that many pupils will nervously take home their school reports to anxious parents. With the spread of challenges facing the industry, it’s unlikely the shipping markets would achieve many top grades. However some sectors might still achieve an “A” for effort and this week’s analysis reviews the markets’ performance in the first half.
Must Do Better!
Our Graph of the Week compares performance in the first half of 2016 to the averages since the financial crisis, as a barometer of performance against trend. First on the graph is the ClarkSea Index, our average earnings index covering all major sectors, which is 18% down on the average since 2009 and 30% compared to 1H 2015. The index actually finished the mid-year at just $8,575/day, close to its all time low of $7,444/day. Clearly room for improvement.
Heading For Re-Sits?
With widely reported historical lows in the bulker sector in the first half, Capes averaged below $5,000/day in 1H 2016, some 76% below the average since 2009. Containerships fared little better, slumping to 54% below trend while offshore rates were also almost 50% down on trend and generally hovering around OPEX levels. The prevalence of lay-up and stacking makes offshore arguably the most challenged sector at present. LPG rates also moved below trend, with VLGCs averaging $32,000/day, albeit following their stellar performance of 2015. Meanwhile trade is heading towards more muted growth with an expectation of 2.2% in 2016 compared to a trend rate of 3.2%.
“A” For Effort
Reduced fleet growth (1% to reach 1.8 bn dwt), increased demolition and extremely limited newbuild orders should all get an “A” for effort. Although demolition of 29m dwt was slightly below 1H 2012 levels, it was 43% above trend. However orders of 18m dwt and $16bn constituted a 35-year low and 68% down on the average since 2009 (lower than the 19.1m dwt in 1H 2009 and lower still if the Valemax orders of 12m dwt are excluded). Further pain for the shipyards and pressure on newbuild prices seems likely as the year progresses. Sale and Purchase activity was well down in value terms but marginally above trend by tonnage, reflecting the strong buying appetite for bulkers (bulker sales of 21m dwt in 1H 2016, the highest tonnage figure since 1H 2007).
Keep Up The Good Work
Although they eased back during the first half, tanker earnings continued to perform above trend with VLCC rates still averaging around $50,000/day. Product tanker earnings have also eased back somewhat this year but remain above trend, as does our index of chemical tanker earnings. The best performer across shipping was the Ro-Ro market, continuing its improvement from 2015 and 60% above trend, with the Ferry and Cruise markets also generally positive.
So shipping is experiencing some of its toughest conditions since the financial crisis and, despite its many efforts, may well be heading for an appointment with the headmaster (the bankers?).
Have a nice day.
Source: Clarksons
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Friday, 24 February 17
RUSSIAN OIL AND GAS WITHSTANDS OIL PRICE SHOCK - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says in a new report that the Russian oil and gas sector has withstood the oil price stock of 1H16. Key events of 2016 include record ...
Friday, 24 February 17
US WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT ESTIMATED AT 16.8 MMST - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.8 million short ton ...
Thursday, 23 February 17
ULTRA SUPRAMAX: INDONESIA TO INDIA IS GETTING AROUND $10-11K BASIS SINGAPORE DELIVERY
Supramax
The week started off quietly in the Atlantic with more activity in the Pacific basin.
According to Fearnleys weekly report, frontha ...
Wednesday, 22 February 17
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
In 2016 a session of the IMO committee in London, set the new prerequisites effective from January 2020, which will necessitate global Sulphur cont ...
Tuesday, 21 February 17
INDIA'S JANUARY COAL IMPORTS DECLINE 21.7 PERCENT YEAR -ON-YEAR TO 14.31 MT - PTI
Coal imports declined by 21.7 per cent to 14.31 million tonnes in January as the power utilities did not lift much fuel due to abundant stock avail ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
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