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Wednesday, 13 July 16
EIA FORECASTS U.S. COAL EXPORTS TO DECLINE BY 15 MMST IN 2016 AND BY 4 MMST IN 2017
 COALspot.com: U.S. coal production in June was 57 million short tons (MMst), a 6 MMst (13%) increase from May and 9 MMst (14%) lower than in June 2015, says EIA in its latest short-term energy outlook.
The short-term energy outlook of EIA further noted that, in 2016, coal production is expected to decrease by more than 100 MMst for the second consecutive year, with a forecast annual decline of 168 MMst (19%), which would be the largest decline in terms of both tons and percentage since data collection began in 1949.
In 2017, total U.S. coal production is expected to increase by 43 MMst (6%), with almost all of the increase coming from the Appalachian region and the Interior region. Coal in these two regions has the advantage of lower transportation costs and a higher heat content per ton compared with Western region coal.
According to the most recent data, short-term energy outlook of EIA says, electric power sector coal stockpiles were 196 MMst in April, a 2 MMst (1%) increase from March. The end-of-April coal stocks were 29 MMst (17%) higher than the April 2015 level and 31 MMst (19%) higher than the previous 10-year average for the month. Warmer-than-normal winter temperatures and coal's continuing loss of market share to natural gas for electric power generation contributed to the increase in coal stockpiles. EIA expects that the level of coal stockpiles will decrease over the summer, and power sector inventories will end 2016 at 159 MMst.
Coal Consumption
According to EIA, the coal consumption in the electric power sector, which accounts for more than 90% of total U.S. coal consumption, is forecast to decline by 66 MMst (9%) in 2016. The decline is a result of competition with low-priced natural gas and of warmer-than-normal winter weather in the first quarter of 2016 that reduced overall electricity generation. Coal consumption in the electric power sector is forecast to increase by 23 MMst (3%) in 2017, mostly because of rising natural gas prices coupled with increasing electricity generation.
Coal Trade
short-term energy outlook of EIA says, the slower growth in global coal demand and lower international coal prices have contributed to the recent decline in U.S. coal exports. April 2016 coal exports were 1 MMst (12%) lower than in March, but they were 36% (3 MMst) lower than the amount exported in April 2015.
EIA forecasts U.S. coal exports to decline by 15 MMst (20%) in 2016 and by 4 MMst (7%) in 2017.
Atlantic and Gulf Coast power generators are forecast to maintain their current levels of coal imports, which are primarily from Latin America. Imports are projected to be 11 MMst in both 2016 and 2017.
Coal Prices
EIA estimates the delivered coal price averaged $2.23/MMBtu in 2015. Forecast prices are $2.19/MMBtu in 2016 and $2.24/MMBtu in 2017.
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Thursday, 28 July 16
FITCH RAISES CORPORATE OIL PRICE ASSUMPTION FOR 2016 TO USD42
Fitch Ratings has raised the 2016 oil price assumptions it uses when rating energy-sector corporates, but expects record high inventories to slow a ...
Thursday, 28 July 16
LAST WEEK ENDING UP WITH BUSIER TONES FOR SUPRAMAXES NOW COOLING DOWN - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Last week ending up with busier tones for Supramaxes now cooling down as with index being down to 684. Average daily earnings for Supram ...
Wednesday, 27 July 16
RATES FOR THE SMALLER SIZES OVER-PERFORMED THE MARKET LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
The decline the BDI noted last week was somewhat expected given the fact that the market has been overall firming for almost a month no ...
Wednesday, 27 July 16
GLOBAL OIL SUPPLY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGHER THAN GLOBAL CONSUMPTION IN 2016 - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
Global oil supply is expected to remain higher than global consumption in 2016, keeping oil prices at relatively low levels this summer compared wi ...
Tuesday, 26 July 16
NORTH P&I CLUB EXPLAINS HOW TO AVOID CLAIMS FOR SELF-COOKING SOYA BEANS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
North P&I Club has advised its members to be extra vigilant during loading and transport of soya beans to ensure they ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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