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Wednesday, 13 July 16
EIA FORECASTS U.S. COAL EXPORTS TO DECLINE BY 15 MMST IN 2016 AND BY 4 MMST IN 2017
 COALspot.com: U.S. coal production in June was 57 million short tons (MMst), a 6 MMst (13%) increase from May and 9 MMst (14%) lower than in June 2015, says EIA in its latest short-term energy outlook.
The short-term energy outlook of EIA further noted that, in 2016, coal production is expected to decrease by more than 100 MMst for the second consecutive year, with a forecast annual decline of 168 MMst (19%), which would be the largest decline in terms of both tons and percentage since data collection began in 1949.
In 2017, total U.S. coal production is expected to increase by 43 MMst (6%), with almost all of the increase coming from the Appalachian region and the Interior region. Coal in these two regions has the advantage of lower transportation costs and a higher heat content per ton compared with Western region coal.
According to the most recent data, short-term energy outlook of EIA says, electric power sector coal stockpiles were 196 MMst in April, a 2 MMst (1%) increase from March. The end-of-April coal stocks were 29 MMst (17%) higher than the April 2015 level and 31 MMst (19%) higher than the previous 10-year average for the month. Warmer-than-normal winter temperatures and coal's continuing loss of market share to natural gas for electric power generation contributed to the increase in coal stockpiles. EIA expects that the level of coal stockpiles will decrease over the summer, and power sector inventories will end 2016 at 159 MMst.
Coal Consumption
According to EIA, the coal consumption in the electric power sector, which accounts for more than 90% of total U.S. coal consumption, is forecast to decline by 66 MMst (9%) in 2016. The decline is a result of competition with low-priced natural gas and of warmer-than-normal winter weather in the first quarter of 2016 that reduced overall electricity generation. Coal consumption in the electric power sector is forecast to increase by 23 MMst (3%) in 2017, mostly because of rising natural gas prices coupled with increasing electricity generation.
Coal Trade
short-term energy outlook of EIA says, the slower growth in global coal demand and lower international coal prices have contributed to the recent decline in U.S. coal exports. April 2016 coal exports were 1 MMst (12%) lower than in March, but they were 36% (3 MMst) lower than the amount exported in April 2015.
EIA forecasts U.S. coal exports to decline by 15 MMst (20%) in 2016 and by 4 MMst (7%) in 2017.
Atlantic and Gulf Coast power generators are forecast to maintain their current levels of coal imports, which are primarily from Latin America. Imports are projected to be 11 MMst in both 2016 and 2017.
Coal Prices
EIA estimates the delivered coal price averaged $2.23/MMBtu in 2015. Forecast prices are $2.19/MMBtu in 2016 and $2.24/MMBtu in 2017.
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Monday, 15 August 16
THE SPOT FREIGHT MARKET STRENGTHEN OVER THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose as Cape and Panamax segments ending in a positive no ...
Friday, 12 August 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT ENDING AUGUST 6 FELL SLIGHTLY
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.9 million short ton ...
Thursday, 11 August 16
CAPESIZE THE PACIFIC SIDE IS LOOKING MORE POSITIVE, DRIVEN BY AUSTRALIAN IRON ORE - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Rates continue to be under pressure with index ending up with 639 points and average TC value at USD6,680, said Fearnleys. Fearnleys A/S ...
Thursday, 11 August 16
EIA ESTIMATES THE DELIVERED COAL PRICE TO U.S. ELECTRIC UTILITIES IN 2017 AVERAGED $2.24/MMBTU; $0.05/MMBTU HIGHER THAN 2016 ESTIMATES
Coal Supply
U.S. coal production in July was 65 million short tons (MMst), an 8 MMst (14%) increase from the previous month but 11 MMst (15%) low ...
Wednesday, 10 August 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET KEPT SOFTENING LAST WEEK; WE CAN SEE MUCH HEALTHIER NUMBERS STARTING SEPTEMBER
The Dry Bulk market kept softening last week as we have now started going through the traditionally quieter days of the summer season peak period, ...
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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