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Wednesday, 13 July 16
2015 VS. 2016; THE DRY BULK DEMOLITION DERBY - JOHN N. COTZIAS
 In the first half of the year 373 Bulkers and General Cargo ships were scrapped representing 23.8mil tons of dwt carrying capacity.
Comparing the first half of the year with the same period in 2015, we observe that there is an increase overall in terms of dwt and a small decrease in terms of vessels, indicating that bigger dwt vessels have been scrapped so far this year. In terms of dwt, the Capesize figure is up by 3%, the Panamax figure is up by an impressive 40% and the Handymax/Supramax and Handysize figures are up by 33% and down by 31% respectively.
The higher volume of demolition activity this year has pushed down by 3 years the average demolition age of dry bulk vessels compared to that in 2015. In 2016 so far the average age is 23.5 years, compared to 2015’s 26.5 years, and 29 years witnessed back in 2014. The average demolition age for Capes is now less than 21 years and in just two years this figure has been reduced by more than 5 years for all bulker sizes.
It is also worth noting that demolition activity in Container vessels has also firmed during this year. In the first half of 2016 the scrapping of Container Ships is up by 3 times compared to H1 2015. 79 Container vessels of 265k TEU capacity were scrapped during the first six months of the year, an overwhelming figure when compared to the 61 vessels of 136k TEU scrapped during the entire 2015.
In 2016 so far 585 vessels of all types have left the active fleet, representing 29.8mil tones effectively being removed from the "chase" of cargoes. 80% of all dwt scrapped comes from Bulkers and General Cargo ships, 13% from Containers and only 4% comes from Tankers.
In H1 2015 we had 636 ships of 27.9mil dwt across all sectors scrapped. 2015 ended with 988 ships of 40.5mil dwt removed. If the same pace continues and we follow a similar 2nd half trend as that of 2015, we estimate that with all other things being equal, i.e. freight rates remaining stable across all sectors and that during H2 scrapping activity usually slows down, we could well see 2016 ending with 850-900 vessels and 42-47mil tons being scrapped.
Given that global demand growth appears to be static, the only way to bridge the gap between supply and demand in both the Dry bulk and the Container sectors is with increased scrapping. Let’s hope that for the sake of an improved fleet balance, scrapping activity will continue at a healthy pace during the remainder of the year.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 03 August 16
SHIP TRADING AND ORDERING CLOSE TO A STALEMATE AS SUMMER LULL KICKS IN
With newbuilding activity already at a near standstill since the start of the year, most of 2016’s trading activity in shipping was evident i ...
Tuesday, 02 August 16
INDONESIAN CS COAL INDICES STAY POSITIVE
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 0.71% week over week to averaging $41.12 per ton this past week, shows CS (i) C ...
Monday, 01 August 16
4200 GAR INDONESIAN COAL PRICE MAY TOUCH $ 32/33 A TON LEVELS SOON
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal prices are likely surge further in 2016 as the recent price movement in Indonesian coal markets suggests that the mar ...
Monday, 01 August 16
BALTIC INDEX ENDED NEGATIVE NOTE THIS PAST WEEK ON WEAKER RATES ACROSS ALL LARGE VESSEL SEGMENTS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities slide slightly as Cape, Panamax and Supramax segments end ...
Friday, 29 July 16
U.S. COAL OUTPUT SLIPS SLIGHTLY WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers has produced approximately totalled an estimated 15 million short tons ( ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The University of Queensland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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