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Wednesday, 13 July 16
2015 VS. 2016; THE DRY BULK DEMOLITION DERBY - JOHN N. COTZIAS
 In the first half of the year 373 Bulkers and General Cargo ships were scrapped representing 23.8mil tons of dwt carrying capacity.
Comparing the first half of the year with the same period in 2015, we observe that there is an increase overall in terms of dwt and a small decrease in terms of vessels, indicating that bigger dwt vessels have been scrapped so far this year. In terms of dwt, the Capesize figure is up by 3%, the Panamax figure is up by an impressive 40% and the Handymax/Supramax and Handysize figures are up by 33% and down by 31% respectively.
The higher volume of demolition activity this year has pushed down by 3 years the average demolition age of dry bulk vessels compared to that in 2015. In 2016 so far the average age is 23.5 years, compared to 2015’s 26.5 years, and 29 years witnessed back in 2014. The average demolition age for Capes is now less than 21 years and in just two years this figure has been reduced by more than 5 years for all bulker sizes.
It is also worth noting that demolition activity in Container vessels has also firmed during this year. In the first half of 2016 the scrapping of Container Ships is up by 3 times compared to H1 2015. 79 Container vessels of 265k TEU capacity were scrapped during the first six months of the year, an overwhelming figure when compared to the 61 vessels of 136k TEU scrapped during the entire 2015.
In 2016 so far 585 vessels of all types have left the active fleet, representing 29.8mil tones effectively being removed from the "chase" of cargoes. 80% of all dwt scrapped comes from Bulkers and General Cargo ships, 13% from Containers and only 4% comes from Tankers.
In H1 2015 we had 636 ships of 27.9mil dwt across all sectors scrapped. 2015 ended with 988 ships of 40.5mil dwt removed. If the same pace continues and we follow a similar 2nd half trend as that of 2015, we estimate that with all other things being equal, i.e. freight rates remaining stable across all sectors and that during H2 scrapping activity usually slows down, we could well see 2016 ending with 850-900 vessels and 42-47mil tons being scrapped.
Given that global demand growth appears to be static, the only way to bridge the gap between supply and demand in both the Dry bulk and the Container sectors is with increased scrapping. Let’s hope that for the sake of an improved fleet balance, scrapping activity will continue at a healthy pace during the remainder of the year.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 18 October 16
COAL PRICES KEPT CLIMBING
COALspot.com: A rally in thermal coal prices over the past few months, after years of decline, is still continuing and it is expected to rally at l ...
Tuesday, 18 October 16
PANAMAX: A FAIRLY POSITIVE END TO THE WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize
Things seemed to be moving sideways during the first half of the week, with resistance being felt as owners tried to resist any further ...
Monday, 17 October 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS SOFTENED IN ALL SEGMENTS THIS PAST WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline slightly and ending in a negative note this past ...
Friday, 14 October 16
SUPRAMAXES: DELIVERY SINGAPORE ARE SETTLING AROUND HIGH 6K'S FOR COAL TRIPS TO CHINA VIA INDO - FEARNLEY
Supramax
Wait and see attitude prevailing all over the market.
There have been several fresh cargoes, which have been efficiently covered by ...
Friday, 14 October 16
U.S. SHIPPED 3.3 MMST COAL IN JULY 2016; DECLINE 40% M/M
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.6 million short ton ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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- White Energy Company Limited
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Coal Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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