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Monday, 11 July 16
COAL MARKETS SAW IMPROVED PRICES IN H1 2016 - SGX'S COMMODITIES MID-YEAR REFLECTION
SGXCOALspot.com: Coal
Coal markets saw improved prices in H1 2016 with the benchmark coking coal and thermal coal spot prices rising 18% and 25%, respectively, as higher oil prices and domestic production restrictions in China have proved supportive of pricing, says SGX in its Commodities Mid-Year Reflections report.

According to SGX, the results of their survey indicate over three-quarters of respondents expect Chinese coal imports to either remain flat or decline in H2 2016 (relative to H1 2016). A majority of respondents believe seaborne coking coal prices have already bottomed this year, while it is also expected that domestic Chinese production restrictions present a positive tailwind for seaborne demand.

According to SGX's 2016 Mid-Year Outlook Survey, a 55.30% of respondents believe LNG will be able to compete with coal on cost in Asia within the next 5 years. However, 44.70% respondents don’t believe LNG compete with Coal within next 5 years.

Dry Bulk Freight
The Baltic Dry Index ended H1 2016 up 38%, plunging to all-time record lows in February before rebounding through the second quarter, driven by larger vessel classes, commodities Mid-Year Reflections report of SGX says. In spite of improved freight rates, albeit from low levels, market participants appear to remain largely cautious.

According to SGX’s survey results, almost 80% of respondents anticipate no sustainable improvement in supply-demand fundamentals until 2018 at the earliest. In 2016, there is a consensus view of 3-5% of the global fleet being scrapped. Coupled with new supply growth, consensus indicates net dry bulk fleet growth of 0-3% in 2016. Views are particularly mixed over which vessel class has the strongest relative outlook in H2 2016, though with Capesize vessels coming out slightly ahead of the rest.

Freight –  market leader
SGX freight derivatives saw a transformational H1 2016 with volumes totalling a record 312,234 contracts during the period, an increase of 255% on the prior year, Open interest averaged 109,158 contracts in H1 2016, up over 277% year-on-year.

Global market share also saw a corresponding rise during the year, with SGX becoming the largest clearing house by volume in H1 2016 for dry bulk freight derivatives.

In addition to substantial growth in volumes, open interest and number of participants, other developments in the past six months included (1) futurisation of the P2A, P3A and C5 voyage routes; (2) narrowing of strike intervals for all freight options on-swap contracts; and (3) extension of options series on time charter average contracts to five full calendar years.


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Recent News

Thursday, 14 July 16
SHIPPING'S HALF YEAR REPORT - 'MUST DO BETTER' - CLARKSONS
It’s the time of year, with the school holidays and end of term approaching, that many pupils will nervously take home their school reports t ...


Wednesday, 13 July 16
EIA FORECASTS U.S. COAL EXPORTS TO DECLINE BY 15 MMST IN 2016 AND BY 4 MMST IN 2017
COALspot.com: U.S. coal production in June was 57 million short tons (MMst), a 6 MMst (13%) increase from May and 9 MMst (14%) lower than in June 2 ...


Wednesday, 13 July 16
2015 VS. 2016; THE DRY BULK DEMOLITION DERBY - JOHN N. COTZIAS
In the first half of the year 373 Bulkers and General Cargo ships were scrapped representing 23.8mil tons of dwt carrying capacity. Comparing ...


Tuesday, 12 July 16
DUE TO LONG HOLIDAYS, CS COAL INDICES HELD AT THE SAME LEVEL OF THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was flat week over week to averaging $39.98 per ton this past week. Due to the ...


Monday, 11 July 16
THE MAIN SEA FREIGHT INDEX, BDI ROSE FURTHER ON 8 JULY DUE TO STRONG DEMAND FOR PANAMAX SHIPS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week. The BDI was up 3.84 percent from las ...


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