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Thursday, 07 July 16
CONSOLIDATION TO RULE OVER SHIPPING, AS EXECUTIVES SEEK INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN CHINA, INDIA AND EUROPE SAYS NORTON ROSE SURVEY
 The transport sector is looking to Asia Pacific as the key market for investment over the next five years, according to the seventh The way ahead Transport survey from global law firm Norton Rose Fulbright. China and India are the most popular jurisdictions for investment, followed by the US, with growth through consolidation viewed as the best investment opportunity currently. While confidence among respondents from the aviation and rail industries is high, owing to lower oil prices, the availability of funding and the impact of infrastructure improvements, the shipping industry remains the least optimistic as a result of overcapacity in many subsectors of the market.
Over half (52%) of all respondents to the Norton Rose Fulbright survey agree that a global recession poses the greatest threat to their industry. However, despite political uncertainty, most agree that the transport sector can expect to enjoy further growth over the next five years. Rising passenger numbers and freight volumes are anticipated (by 73%) and an increase in the number of routes and services is expected (52%).
Investment in technology is expected to rise, according to 67%, with low carbon technology and predictive analytics expected to represent the most significant driver of change in the transport sector over the next five years.
Infrastructure remains a key theme for the sector. After consolidation, infrastructure improvements are viewed as the best investment opportunity currently (by 19%), and infrastructure investment is seen as the most helpful form of government support (by 25%). For the aviation, rail and road industries, inadequate infrastructure is seen as the greatest challenge to the operational efficiency of their industries.
Bank debt, capital markets and private equity will represent transport businesses’ main sources of funding over the next two years, and 74% of respondents expect the availability of funds to stay the same, or even increase, over the next five years.
Harry Theochari, global head of transport at Norton Rose Fulbright, comments:
“The transport sector is continuing to look to Asia Pacific for investment opportunities, encouraged by rising demand and China’s ambitious Belt and Road initiative, a modern day silk road which will improve China’s infrastructure links with the rest of the world.
“Sentiment is high in the aviation and rail industries, buoyed by the expectation of increased passenger numbers. However, shipping continues to feel the effects of overcapacity in many markets, and an increase in enforcement actions is widely predicted, although in the longer term respondents believe conditions will improve.
“Investment in infrastructure and technology, and consolidation through both M&A and joint ventures, will be key drivers for transforming the transport sector and assisting growth.
“The adoption of new technology in particular will help to address numerous issues the sector has been grappling with in recent years, such as low carbon technology to meet increasingly stringent environmental legislation, and predictive analytics to anticipate repairs and maintenance and better understand and forecast consumer behavior.
“While respondents are most fearful of the impact of a worldwide recession, they will be watching closely the implications of the UK’s referendum result. The transport sector is international and highly regulated and any UK exit from the EU would need to take into account a number of complex issues.”
Shipping
Shipping is the least optimistic industry within the transport sector, by a significant margin. Only 15% believe that current market conditions are positive, down from 33% in 2015 and 69% in 2014.
Overcapacity is the principal reason given for this lack of optimism (66%), followed, to a lesser extent, by economic uncertainty in key markets (27%).
Respondents are more optimistic when asked to consider the outlook for shipping over the next five years. Fares and freight costs will increase according to 67% and the same proportion anticipate an upturn in passenger numbers and freight volumes. The number of routes and services offered is also expected to rise, according to 35%. However, just 22% believe that funding will become more readily available and 64% think that the number of enforcement actions will increase as lenders seek to protect their positions and recover losses. Most (68%) expect fuel costs to rise.
Investment opportunities
Much of the shipping industry (58%) continues to favour Asia Pacific for investment opportunities over the next two to five years, followed, to a far lesser extent, by Europe (16%). China (17%) and India (16%) remain the most popular markets for investment.
A merger or acquisition is seen as the optimal investment opportunity (by 34%, up from 29% in 2015), while 13% favour joint ventures, alliances and pools (down from 28% in 2015).
Respondents expect consolidation to be at the centre of shipping businesses’ strategies over the next 12 months, either in the form of M&A (22%) or joint ventures (19%), while 22% expect a focus on the disposal of non-core assets. Almost three-quarters (72%) expect investment in technology to increase over the next five years, with low carbon technology expected to have the most significant impact on the industry during this period (by 33%), followed by predictive analytics (by 24%).
Regulation
Almost half (42%) believe that greater transparency in the application and enforcement of existing and proposed regulations would be the most helpful form of government support for the shipping industry, more so than fiscal incentives (32%) or investment in infrastructure (29%). Environmental regulation is seen as the regulation that has had the greatest impact on shipping over the past decade (by 49%), followed by trade and financial sanctions (by 25%).
Supply and demand imbalances are seen as the greatest challenge to the operational efficiency of the industry (by 47%), followed by a lack of qualified people (12%) and emission controls (9%). A global recession is seen as the greatest threat to the health of shipping over the next five years (by 68%). To a lesser extent, respondents are also concerned about the impact of enforcement by creditors on debt obligations (12%) and continued political and economic uncertainty in the Eurozone (8%).
Bank debt is once again expected to act as shipping’s primary source of funding over the next two years (22%), followed by shareholder support (18%) and private equity (16%).
Despite the problem of overcapacity in many sub-sectors of the industry, fuelled by new build vessels coming on to the market, 11% think that ECA funding will be the industry’s main
source of finance.
Source: Norton Rose Fulbright | Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 14 July 16
SHIPPING'S HALF YEAR REPORT - 'MUST DO BETTER' - CLARKSONS
It’s the time of year, with the school holidays and end of term approaching, that many pupils will nervously take home their school reports t ...
Wednesday, 13 July 16
EIA FORECASTS U.S. COAL EXPORTS TO DECLINE BY 15 MMST IN 2016 AND BY 4 MMST IN 2017
COALspot.com: U.S. coal production in June was 57 million short tons (MMst), a 6 MMst (13%) increase from May and 9 MMst (14%) lower than in June 2 ...
Wednesday, 13 July 16
2015 VS. 2016; THE DRY BULK DEMOLITION DERBY - JOHN N. COTZIAS
In the first half of the year 373 Bulkers and General Cargo ships were scrapped representing 23.8mil tons of dwt carrying capacity.
Comparing ...
Tuesday, 12 July 16
DUE TO LONG HOLIDAYS, CS COAL INDICES HELD AT THE SAME LEVEL OF THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was flat week over week to averaging $39.98 per ton this past week.
Due to the ...
Monday, 11 July 16
COAL MARKETS SAW IMPROVED PRICES IN H1 2016 - SGX'S COMMODITIES MID-YEAR REFLECTION
COALspot.com: Coal
Coal markets saw improved prices in H1 2016 with the benchmark coking coal and thermal coal spot prices rising 18% and 25%, re ...
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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- London Commodity Brokers - England
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The University of Queensland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
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