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Friday, 17 June 16
CHINA'S NEW POLICY TO REDUCE WASTE IN RENEWABLE ENERGY - FITCH
 Chinese renewable energy producers are likely to benefit from a new policy that guarantees a minimum amount of solar and wind power is purchased in certain provinces, Fitch Ratings says. The extent of the impact of this new policy announced by China's National Development and Reform Commission on 27 May 2016 will depend on execution at the provincial level.
According to Fitch, the new policy comes as solar and wind power producers frequently face curtailment, where power grids do not purchase all the energy generated. The wastage arises as the government has not strictly enforced the Renewable Energy Law, which requires grid companies to purchase solar and wind power generated first before buying from other sources. In the past, delayed grid connectivity and higher on-grid priority for power/heating co-generation during the winter season in certain regions contributed to solar and wind power curtailment. Starting from 2015, renewable energy faced additional challenges from slower power demand growth due to the weaker economic growth, and the significant capacity additions by thermal and renewable power producers.
Fitch further noted that, the under the new policy, the NDRC will guarantee that grid companies purchase solar and wind power, based on a minimum utilisation hour for such projects, in 11 provinces where producers face severe curtailment. The 11 provinces are: Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Gansu, Jilin, Heilongjiang, Ningxia, Liaoning, Qinghai, parts of Hebei, Shanxi and Shaanxi. The curtailment ratios in these provinces were higher than China's average solar and wind power curtailment ratios of 14% and 26%, respectively, in 1Q16. These provinces represented 69% of China's total wind power generation and 70% of total solar capacity in 2015.
The NDRC's guarantee of a minimum utilisation hour for solar and wind power, which is set to allow these generators a reasonable return, will provide some comfort to renewable energy investors in these provinces, who have seen the utilisation hours for wind and solar power in these provinces decline in the past two years. The NDRC will guarantee minimum utilisation hour of between 1,800 and 2,000 hours for wind power and between 1,300 and 1,500 hours for solar power in these regions. The average minimum guarantee is about 17% higher than the actual utilisation in 2015, although around 8% lower than that in 2013.
The new NDRC policy also bans new wind and solar power projects in the regions where the utilisation rate is below the minimum amount under the guaranteed purchase policy. There are still 33GW of wind power projects in the pipeline in these 11 provinces, and those that have not started construction may be suspended.
We believe the effectiveness of the guarantee in provinces such as Gansu, Jilin and Heilongjiang will be most dependent on the execution; especially because the policy has not specified who will bear the cost of any non-compliance with the minimum purchase guarantee. These regions' actual utilisation hours in 2015 were 19%-34% below the announced guarantee. The expected growth in power demand in these regions is also weak and export transmission capacity is currently limited. Thermal power (mostly co-gen units) is also running at low utilisation, which means there is limited room to allocate more on-grid capacity to renewable energy without further hurting the thermal power producers.
The NDRC's guarantee does not affect the on-grid tariff subsidies currently in place for solar and wind power. Beyond the minimum purchase guaranteed by NDRC, solar and wind power generators can sell any excess power generated through a market power sales programme. The generators will receive the proceeds from the power sales and any applicable subsidies for solar or wind power, Fitch Ratings says.
The impact of the new policy on the thermal-power sector will be minimal, as wind and solar together account for only 4% of national power generation. We estimate that thermal-power utilisation would only have been less than 1% lower if the off-take from solar and wind projects were at the guaranteed requirement in 2015. However, we expect utilisation levels for coal-fired generation to continue to fall due to the increasing over-capacity in the sector, Fitch Ratings Concluded.
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Monday, 12 October 15
BDI WEIGHED DOWN BY CAPE
COALspot.com: The BDI (Baltic Dry Index) has come back down again this week. The BDI is a benchmark index used to assess the overall cost of moving ...
Sunday, 11 October 15
TANKER SHIPPING: MORE OPTIMISM IN SIGHT FOR TANKERS IN THE WINTER SEASON - BIMCO
Demand:
2015 has been the year of the tanker. The fundamental improvements with slow supply-side growth for some years coupled with low oil pri ...
Friday, 09 October 15
US WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT UP 1.2 PERCENT TO 17.7 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.7 million shor ...
Thursday, 08 October 15
CAPESIZE: MOST PEOPLE AGREE A SPIKE IN RATES WILL HAPPEN; WHEN, HOW LONG AND HOW SUBSTANTIAL? - FEARNLEYS
Cape
Depressives start of the fourth quarter, with c3 approaching USD 12 pmt and c5 presently in the mind 5's. According to Fearnleys ship br ...
Wednesday, 07 October 15
U.S. COAL EXPORTS FOR THE FIRST SEVEN MONTHS DOWN 21 PER CENT COMPARED WITH THE SAME PERIOD IN 2014 - EIA
Coal Supply
Lower U.S.’s domestic coal consumption and reduced exports contribute to a forecast decline of 89 million short tons (M ...
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
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- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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