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Friday, 17 June 16
CHINA'S NEW POLICY TO REDUCE WASTE IN RENEWABLE ENERGY - FITCH
 Chinese renewable energy producers are likely to benefit from a new policy that guarantees a minimum amount of solar and wind power is purchased in certain provinces, Fitch Ratings says. The extent of the impact of this new policy announced by China's National Development and Reform Commission on 27 May 2016 will depend on execution at the provincial level.
According to Fitch, the new policy comes as solar and wind power producers frequently face curtailment, where power grids do not purchase all the energy generated. The wastage arises as the government has not strictly enforced the Renewable Energy Law, which requires grid companies to purchase solar and wind power generated first before buying from other sources. In the past, delayed grid connectivity and higher on-grid priority for power/heating co-generation during the winter season in certain regions contributed to solar and wind power curtailment. Starting from 2015, renewable energy faced additional challenges from slower power demand growth due to the weaker economic growth, and the significant capacity additions by thermal and renewable power producers.
Fitch further noted that, the under the new policy, the NDRC will guarantee that grid companies purchase solar and wind power, based on a minimum utilisation hour for such projects, in 11 provinces where producers face severe curtailment. The 11 provinces are: Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Gansu, Jilin, Heilongjiang, Ningxia, Liaoning, Qinghai, parts of Hebei, Shanxi and Shaanxi. The curtailment ratios in these provinces were higher than China's average solar and wind power curtailment ratios of 14% and 26%, respectively, in 1Q16. These provinces represented 69% of China's total wind power generation and 70% of total solar capacity in 2015.
The NDRC's guarantee of a minimum utilisation hour for solar and wind power, which is set to allow these generators a reasonable return, will provide some comfort to renewable energy investors in these provinces, who have seen the utilisation hours for wind and solar power in these provinces decline in the past two years. The NDRC will guarantee minimum utilisation hour of between 1,800 and 2,000 hours for wind power and between 1,300 and 1,500 hours for solar power in these regions. The average minimum guarantee is about 17% higher than the actual utilisation in 2015, although around 8% lower than that in 2013.
The new NDRC policy also bans new wind and solar power projects in the regions where the utilisation rate is below the minimum amount under the guaranteed purchase policy. There are still 33GW of wind power projects in the pipeline in these 11 provinces, and those that have not started construction may be suspended.
We believe the effectiveness of the guarantee in provinces such as Gansu, Jilin and Heilongjiang will be most dependent on the execution; especially because the policy has not specified who will bear the cost of any non-compliance with the minimum purchase guarantee. These regions' actual utilisation hours in 2015 were 19%-34% below the announced guarantee. The expected growth in power demand in these regions is also weak and export transmission capacity is currently limited. Thermal power (mostly co-gen units) is also running at low utilisation, which means there is limited room to allocate more on-grid capacity to renewable energy without further hurting the thermal power producers.
The NDRC's guarantee does not affect the on-grid tariff subsidies currently in place for solar and wind power. Beyond the minimum purchase guaranteed by NDRC, solar and wind power generators can sell any excess power generated through a market power sales programme. The generators will receive the proceeds from the power sales and any applicable subsidies for solar or wind power, Fitch Ratings says.
The impact of the new policy on the thermal-power sector will be minimal, as wind and solar together account for only 4% of national power generation. We estimate that thermal-power utilisation would only have been less than 1% lower if the off-take from solar and wind projects were at the guaranteed requirement in 2015. However, we expect utilisation levels for coal-fired generation to continue to fall due to the increasing over-capacity in the sector, Fitch Ratings Concluded.
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Wednesday, 25 November 15
BIG CHINESE COPPER PROCESSORS DEFEND MARGINS THROUGH R&D, SAYS FITCH
Large Chinese copper processors are focusing on higher value-added products and investing in R&D to enhance their technical know-how to maintai ...
Wednesday, 25 November 15
BIMCO LAUNCHES ANTI-CORRUPTION CLAUSE FOR SHIPPING CONTRACTS WORLDWIDE
COALspot.com: BIMCO, is the world’s largest international shipping association, with 2,200 members in around 130 countries, has now launched ...
Wednesday, 25 November 15
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE VASTARDIS
We have already noticed obvious signs of activity mainly West of Suez, which are currently driving the clean MR market to higher levels. Over the p ...
Tuesday, 24 November 15
COAL SUPPLY PRESSURE PUTS INDONESIAN HBA IN FREE FALL
The coal industry is slowly recognizing that, the current coal price level is not a decrease in price, but a change in pricing to corresp ...
Tuesday, 24 November 15
COAL PRICES SET TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE UNTIL 2016 DUE TO OVER SUPPLY GLUT; H1 '16 COAL SWAPS DOWN 13% M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $5 per ton (12.05%) month over month to US$ 36.50 per ton. The s ...
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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