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Monday, 13 June 16
DEMAND FOR DRY BULK COMMODITIES COULD PROVIDE FUTURE BOOST FOR SHIP OWNERS - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 When it comes to the dry bulk market, shipowners these days are looking for news in any shape or form they can find them. However, as the discussion over the market’s future prospects is being dominated by the obvious tonnage oversupply, things could very well start to show modest signs of improvement in the demand-side of the market as well.
Dry bulk ship owner Golden Ocean said in its latest quarterly report that “China’s official GDP growth slowed to 6.7% in the first quarter of 2016. In the new five-year plan announced in China in March the target for annual GDP growth during the next five years was set to 6.5%. This is the first time that the target set has been higher than the consensus estimate from various analysts. Although the Chinese authorities are focused on growth from “softer” sectors like services, they still say that no goals should jeopardize social stability or economical prosperity. This could bode for some additional investments in infrastructure projects and fixed asset investments if growth is not kept at an acceptable pace. Moreover, control of infrastructure projects have been taken back centrally to Beijing. March statistics for China showed better economic outlook, as both growth in fixed asset and infrastructure investments as well as new loans all showed signs of improvement. Growth in fixed asset investments picked up from the low in the past three months to 11.2%, the highest since July last year, and growth in infrastructure investments has been on a downward trend in the last two years and dropped to a multi-year low of 8.6% in December last year but ramped up to 22.5% in March. Whether the recovery of growth will remain is of course the big question”, said the shipowner.
Golden Ocean added that “when looking at the various main commodities transported, all of them had a slow start to the year. With low commodity prices and forward curves in backwardation, building down inventories has been preferred to importing new volumes. Imports of coal to China were very low at the beginning of the year at around 13 mt per month, but picked up in March to 19 mt per month, which annualized is at around the same levels as last year. There are some signs of stability, and as many Chinese mines are closing down and imports are a small part of the total volumes, in the shorter term there could also be some upside potential on these numbers. India has had a high local output on coal and also has around 25 days of inventories available and has disappointed those that were most optimistic on India’s substitution of Chinese demand”.
Meanwhile, “grain has been very strong in the first quarter of 2016 with an increase in transported volume of 13% year on-year. In particular long haul distances with exports from Brazil and Argentina has increased massively in the quarter, and this also led to increased waiting times in the ports, while other shorter haul distances have been reduced. The increase in transportation is mainly driven by imports to China. For other minor bulks there has also been an increase in volumes, and for bauxite also in ton miles. Steel products have also stabilized around the levels from last year and these commodities balance the drop in coal and iron ore. With global GDP growth expected to be just above 3% for the next coming years steel production is likely to remain flat. At the same time, the replacement between local Chinese iron ore and imports is still continuing, although at the moment the local production is around 200 mt (62% Fe equivalent) compared to total import in 2015 of 953 mt. Most analysts still believe in slight increase in imported volumes. The larger miners have adjusted down their volumes based on the low prices seen earlier this year, but it is expected that Vale will take a larger portion for the remainder of the year, adding ton mile”, said Golden Ocean.
It concluded by noting that “utilization during the first quarter of 2016 was estimated to be around 78% for the dry bulk fleet overall, with Capesize utilization lower during the worst periods of the quarter. Should the current market environment continue and demand growing at the slow pace as most analysts believe, at the same time as deliveries are postponed or cancelled and scrapping keeps up, utilization will improve slowly over the coming years”.
Source: Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 17 May 16
CHINA THERMAL-POWER OVERSUPPLY TO WORSEN - FITCH
COALspot.com: The overcapacity in thermal-power generation in China is likely to worsen in 2016 to 2017, Fitch Ratings says in a new report.
F ...
Tuesday, 17 May 16
ON YOUR MARKS: TRACKING CHINESE TRADE - CLARKSONS
One of the major drivers behind the challenges currently facing many of the shipping markets has been slower demand growth. World seaborne trade gr ...
Monday, 16 May 16
INDONESIAN WEEKLY COAL INDICES AT POSITIVE LEVELS - CS (I) COAL INDEX
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin up 0.31 percent week over week to averaging $38.94 per ton this past week, shows CS ...
Monday, 16 May 16
OPEC SEES RIVAL OIL PRODUCTION DECLINING
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $37.86/b in April, a gain of $3.21 or 9.3%. This was 40% higher than the lows reache ...
Monday, 16 May 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS WEAK AND ALL SEGMENTS EXCEPT PANAMAX WERE DOWN
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline this week.
The freight market was weak and a ...
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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