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Monday, 13 June 16
ONSHORE SHALE: WORTH KEEPING IN THE SHIPPING SPOTLIGHT CLARKSONS
 Generally, shipping industry watchers spend much of their time monitoring events out to sea: how fleets are evolving, trade volumes growing and freight rates performing. But occasionally it can be worth pointing the telescope in the other direction, and spending time considering how events on land can affect the industry. One such major land-based change has been the development of US shale oil and gas.
What No-One Saw Coming
Back in 2009, few would have dared predict that new fracking technologies would allow the US to add 10m boepd of unconventional output across a five year period. This is roughly the same net volume as was added to global offshore output between 2000 and 2015. The offshore markets have been amongst the hardest hit by the oversupply, and cuts in investment will make it harder to add to the 46.9m boepd set to be produced offshore globally in 2016. Since the oil price slump, rig rates have dropped by more than 50%, OSV rates by more than 35%, and today more than 300 rigs and 1,400 OSVs are laid up.
Shale In The Sights
One of the main factors which helped shale fracking to become widespread was the rapid recovery of the oil price after the 2009 downturn. This, of course, also helped the offshore sector have its day in the sun, before the downturn. But shale’s growth also had an impact on other shipping segments. US LPG exports grew at a CAGR of 71% in 2010-15. The growth of shale gas even led to proposals for the first transatlantic exports of ethane derived from it, and orders for ‘VLECs’ vessels followed.
The rise of shale gas also changed the LNG trade fundamentally. In 2010, US LNG imports were expected to be a major growth area. Today, the US has 117mt of under-utilised LNG import infrastructure (imports were just 1.86mt in 2015). Some projects have been converted to liquefaction, and up to 250mt of export capacity was mooted. One new project, Sabine Pass, is now exporting.
Telescoping Tank Capacity
Growth of US shale substantially reduced US import demand for light crudes. This primarily affected imports from West Africa. The transatlantic trade on Suezmaxes and Aframaxes fell from 1.8m bpd in 2010 to 0.3m bpd in 2014. But a 1975 ban on US crude exports prevented tanker exports of surplus oil, much of which is light grades for which US refineries were not ideally configured. US Jones Act tankers and tank barges benefited, as limited fleet supply for upcoast voyages sent coastal time charter rates as high as $140,000/day in mid-2015, but there was no similar effect on international trade.
The US government has now eased the export restrictions, but this has come as lower oil prices have hit the rig count and output onshore. The lower oil price has caused shale to go into decline. Yet it has provided a nice boost for tanker trades, as low oil prices have stimulated oil demand from transportation and industry.
So, developments in the mid-west of America have had major ramifications for energy shipping and offshore markets globally. This is set to continue as the industry waits to see how shale responds to the slight oil price gain over Q2 2016. This only goes to demonstrate the need to keep this related land-based industry under surveillance. Have a nice day.
Source: Clarksons
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Friday, 10 June 16
INDONESIAN 6322 GAR COAL PRICE REFERENCE RISES TO $51.81 A TON
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Benchmark Price increased in June 2016.
The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia, the regulator ...
Friday, 10 June 16
WEEKLY U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED AN ESTIMATED 12 MMST IN THE WEEK ENDED JUNE 4, UP 4% W/W - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 12 million short tons (mmst ...
Wednesday, 08 June 16
BPI ACHIEVES FINANCIAL CLOSE FOR ITS 2000 MW POWER PROJECT IN CENTRAL JAVA
COALspot.com: PT Bhimasena Power Indonesia (BPI) on June 6th, 2016 Achieves financial close for its 2x1,000 MW power project in Batang Regency, Cen ...
Wednesday, 08 June 16
U.S COAL IMPORTS ARE PROJECTED TO BE 12 MMST IN 2016 AND 11 MMST IN 2017 - EIA
Coal Supply
U.S. coal production in May was 50 million short tons (MMst), a 4 MMst (10%) increase from the previous month but 19 MMst (28%) lower ...
Wednesday, 08 June 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET KEPT MOVING SIDEWAYS LAST WEEK; SECOND HAND PURCHASES MOVING NORTH - INTERMODAL
Once again its Posidonia time and the biannual exhibition takes place during a very warm June here in Athens, as if the performance of the dry bulk ...
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- The University of Queensland
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- PTC India Limited - India
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
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