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Tuesday, 17 May 16
ON YOUR MARKS: TRACKING CHINESE TRADE - CLARKSONS
 One of the major drivers behind the challenges currently facing many of the shipping markets has been slower demand growth. World seaborne trade grew by less than 2% in 2015, the slowest pace since 2009, with trends in China pivotal. After the emergence of plenty of disappointing demand-side data last year, what do the indicators of Chinese trade so far in 2016 reveal?
A Surprising Start?
It’s a vital question. Chinese seaborne imports reached a massive 2.1 billion tonnes last year, accounting for 20% of global imports. But in 2015, growth in Chinese imports eased to just 1%, from an average of 9% p.a. in 2011-14. However, data for the first quarter of 2016 provides some pleasant surprises. After slowing for four consecutive years, growth in Chinese seaborne imports in tonnes appears to have picked up pace in Q1 2016, increasing by 6% y-o-y.
Picking Up Speed
Iron ore trade, which last year accounted for 45% of total Chinese imports, has driven much of this growth. Iron ore imports had a strong Q1 2016, rising by 7% y-o-y to 239mt. This was supported by restocking of iron ore inventories in line with improved steel demand and prices in recent months, following government support for infrastructure projects. This has been despite total steel production continuing to contract y-o-y, by 4% in Q1. Meanwhile, Chinese coal imports appear to have stabilised recently, following a sharp fall in 1H 2015, and the pace of decline in imports in Q1 2016 eased to 6% y-o-y. Growth in China’s minor bulk imports also improved marginally in Q1.
Some improvements have also been apparent outside of the dry bulk sector. Expansion in China’s crude oil imports has accelerated, with imports up 14% y-o-y in Q1 to 84mt, following robust growth of 9% in 2015. Imports have been boosted further this year by the liberalisation of the crude oil import market, opening up imports to independent refiners. And although Chinese gas demand came under pressure in 2015 from weaker industrial use, recent cuts to domestic gas prices have supported demand and LNG imports grew 17% y-o-y in Q1 2016 to 6mt.
Mixed Results
Meanwhile, indicators of Chinese exports remain mixed. Container trade on the key Far East-Europe route grew slightly in Q1, after falling 4% in 2015; the impact of adjustments to European inventories and falling Russian demand is likely to moderate this year. However, growth in China’s steel products exports has slowed, partly reflecting greater domestic steel demand.
A Question Of Endurance?
Overall, it would still be fair to say that the seaborne demand environment is still highly challenging, and that volatility clouds the picture in China and elsewhere. Moreover, questions remain over the sustainability of recent developments in some of China’s industrial sectors, and major obstacles to trade volume growth clearly remain. Nevertheless, there are some areas where improved Chinese volume growth has provided a nice surprise so far this year. Against a troubled background, shipping market players will hope these trends at least have a little mileage. Have a nice day.
Source: Clarksons
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Tuesday, 17 May 16
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE DECLINE AGAIN
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Benchmark Price declined in May 2016.
The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia, the regulator of ...
Tuesday, 17 May 16
CHINA THERMAL-POWER OVERSUPPLY TO WORSEN - FITCH
COALspot.com: The overcapacity in thermal-power generation in China is likely to worsen in 2016 to 2017, Fitch Ratings says in a new report.
F ...
Monday, 16 May 16
INDONESIAN WEEKLY COAL INDICES AT POSITIVE LEVELS - CS (I) COAL INDEX
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin up 0.31 percent week over week to averaging $38.94 per ton this past week, shows CS ...
Monday, 16 May 16
OPEC SEES RIVAL OIL PRODUCTION DECLINING
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $37.86/b in April, a gain of $3.21 or 9.3%. This was 40% higher than the lows reache ...
Monday, 16 May 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS WEAK AND ALL SEGMENTS EXCEPT PANAMAX WERE DOWN
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline this week.
The freight market was weak and a ...
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- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Australian Coal Association
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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