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Monday, 16 May 16
OPEC SEES RIVAL OIL PRODUCTION DECLINING
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $37.86/b in April, a gain of $3.21 or 9.3%. This was 40% higher than the lows reached in the beginning of the year, buoyed by expectations for an improving market situation, despite the current persistent oversupply. Oil futures surged more than 8%, with ICE Brent up $3.55 to average $43.34/b, while Nymex WTI rose $3.16 to $41.12/b.
World Economy
World economic growth is forecast at 3.1% in 2016, after estimated growth of 2.9% last year, both unchanged from the previous month. OECD growth in 2016 remains at 1.9%, slightly below the 2.0% seen in 2015. In the emerging economies, India and China continue to expand this year at a considerable level of 7.5% and 6.5%, respectively, with China having been revised up by 0.2 pp after a better-than-expected 1Q16. Brazil and Russia, however, are forecast to remain in recession this year, contracting by 3.4% and 1.1% respectively, with Brazil having been revised down by 0.5 pp.
World Oil Demand
World oil demand in 2015 grew by around 1.54 mb/d, unchanged from last month’s report. Total oil consumption averaged 92.98 mb/d. In 2016, world oil demand is projected to rise by 1.20 mb/d to reach 94.18 mb/d, unchanged from last month’s projections, despite upward revisions to Other Asia, which were counterbalanced by downward revisions to Latin America and China.
World Oil Supply
Non-OPEC oil supply growth for 2015 has been revised up slightly to 1.47 mb/d for an average of 57.14 mb/d. For 2016, non-OPEC oil supply was adjusted lower to average 56.40 mb/d, contracting by 0.74 mb/d. The estimate for OPEC NGLs and non-conventional oils in 2015 has been revised down by 20 tb/d based on direct communication to show a rise of 0.13 mb/d to average 6.13 mb/d. Growth in 2016 has also been adjusted lower to 0.16 mb/d to average 6.29 mb/d. In April, OPEC crude oil production rose 188 tb/d to average 32.44 mb/d, according to secondary sources.
Product Markets and Refining Operations
Product markets in the US were supported by strong domestic gasoline demand amid tightening sentiment due to some outages and maintenance. In Europe, higher export opportunities for gasoline ahead of the driving season lent support to refinery margins. Meanwhile, Asian margins weakened despite peaking refinery maintenance in the region as the oversupply in middle distillates weighed on product markets.
Tanker Market
Dirty tanker spot freight rates declined on the back of lower VLCC and Aframax freight rates as tonnage availability grew while market activity remains limited. Suezmax spot freight rates improved in April supported by strong sentiment for several destinations combined with an occasionally tight position list. In the clean tanker market, West of Suez activities supported freight rates, while East of Suez rates remained weak.
Stock Movements
OECD commercial oil stocks fell in March to stand at 3,049 mb. At this level, OECD commercial oil stocks are around 361 mb above the latest five-year average. Crude inventories showed a lower surplus of 215 mb, while products were broadly flat at 146 mb. In terms of forward cover, OECD commercial stocks stood at 66.8 days, some 7.5 days higher than the latest five-year average. Balance of Supply and Demand Demand for OPEC crude in 2015 is estimated to average 29.7 mb/d, unchanged from the previous month and 0.1 mb/d lower than the previous year. In 2016, demand for OPEC crude is projected at 31.5 mb/d, unchanged from the previous report and 1.8 mb/d higher than last year.
Source: OPEC
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Monday, 18 April 16
SOUTH KOREA STATE-OWNED UTILITY KOMIPO INVITES COAL BIDS FOR BORYEONG POWER PLANT
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender for 70,000 Metric Tons of 4,600 kcal/kg NAR coal for ...
Monday, 18 April 16
SOUTH AFRICA RB1 COAL HAS LOST GROUND IN INDIA; RB2 MAY LOSE GRIP IF THE PRICE CROSSES US$ 50 A TON - TRADERS
COALspot.com: Indian coal consumers preferred to buy South Africa RB2 coal instead of RB1 coal recent months due to RB2's low CFR price level. ...
Monday, 18 April 16
CAPESIZE INDEX ROSE 44.66 PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued to rose this week.
The freight market was ...
Friday, 15 April 16
PANAMAX MARKET CONTINUES TO FIRM - FEARNLEYS
Cape
It has been a positive freight market for the past few weeks, however, this week the market is taking a small breather, says Fearnleys in it ...
Friday, 15 April 16
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT FALLS ACROSS ALL BASINS - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 10.2 million short tons (mm ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
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