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Monday, 16 May 16
OPEC SEES RIVAL OIL PRODUCTION DECLINING
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $37.86/b in April, a gain of $3.21 or 9.3%. This was 40% higher than the lows reached in the beginning of the year, buoyed by expectations for an improving market situation, despite the current persistent oversupply. Oil futures surged more than 8%, with ICE Brent up $3.55 to average $43.34/b, while Nymex WTI rose $3.16 to $41.12/b.
World Economy
World economic growth is forecast at 3.1% in 2016, after estimated growth of 2.9% last year, both unchanged from the previous month. OECD growth in 2016 remains at 1.9%, slightly below the 2.0% seen in 2015. In the emerging economies, India and China continue to expand this year at a considerable level of 7.5% and 6.5%, respectively, with China having been revised up by 0.2 pp after a better-than-expected 1Q16. Brazil and Russia, however, are forecast to remain in recession this year, contracting by 3.4% and 1.1% respectively, with Brazil having been revised down by 0.5 pp.
World Oil Demand
World oil demand in 2015 grew by around 1.54 mb/d, unchanged from last month’s report. Total oil consumption averaged 92.98 mb/d. In 2016, world oil demand is projected to rise by 1.20 mb/d to reach 94.18 mb/d, unchanged from last month’s projections, despite upward revisions to Other Asia, which were counterbalanced by downward revisions to Latin America and China.
World Oil Supply
Non-OPEC oil supply growth for 2015 has been revised up slightly to 1.47 mb/d for an average of 57.14 mb/d. For 2016, non-OPEC oil supply was adjusted lower to average 56.40 mb/d, contracting by 0.74 mb/d. The estimate for OPEC NGLs and non-conventional oils in 2015 has been revised down by 20 tb/d based on direct communication to show a rise of 0.13 mb/d to average 6.13 mb/d. Growth in 2016 has also been adjusted lower to 0.16 mb/d to average 6.29 mb/d. In April, OPEC crude oil production rose 188 tb/d to average 32.44 mb/d, according to secondary sources.
Product Markets and Refining Operations
Product markets in the US were supported by strong domestic gasoline demand amid tightening sentiment due to some outages and maintenance. In Europe, higher export opportunities for gasoline ahead of the driving season lent support to refinery margins. Meanwhile, Asian margins weakened despite peaking refinery maintenance in the region as the oversupply in middle distillates weighed on product markets.
Tanker Market
Dirty tanker spot freight rates declined on the back of lower VLCC and Aframax freight rates as tonnage availability grew while market activity remains limited. Suezmax spot freight rates improved in April supported by strong sentiment for several destinations combined with an occasionally tight position list. In the clean tanker market, West of Suez activities supported freight rates, while East of Suez rates remained weak.
Stock Movements
OECD commercial oil stocks fell in March to stand at 3,049 mb. At this level, OECD commercial oil stocks are around 361 mb above the latest five-year average. Crude inventories showed a lower surplus of 215 mb, while products were broadly flat at 146 mb. In terms of forward cover, OECD commercial stocks stood at 66.8 days, some 7.5 days higher than the latest five-year average. Balance of Supply and Demand Demand for OPEC crude in 2015 is estimated to average 29.7 mb/d, unchanged from the previous month and 0.1 mb/d lower than the previous year. In 2016, demand for OPEC crude is projected at 31.5 mb/d, unchanged from the previous report and 1.8 mb/d higher than last year.
Source: OPEC
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Wednesday, 08 June 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET KEPT MOVING SIDEWAYS LAST WEEK; SECOND HAND PURCHASES MOVING NORTH - INTERMODAL
Once again its Posidonia time and the biannual exhibition takes place during a very warm June here in Athens, as if the performance of the dry bulk ...
Tuesday, 07 June 16
CS COAL INDEX ROSE FOR SECOND STRAIGHT WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up 0.38 percent week over week to averaging $39.16 per ton this past week, shows ...
Monday, 06 June 16
BDI GAINED ON A STRONGER DEMAND FOR CAPESIZE SHIPS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week on a stronger demand for Capesize ves ...
Friday, 03 June 16
DRY BULK VESSEL DELIVERIES COULD BE LESS THAN 50 MILLION DWT IN 2016, AS OWNERS DELAY OR CANCEL NEWBUILDING ORDERS
The dry bulk market has been caught between a rock and a hard place over the course of the past couple of years, as on one hand demand has plunged, ...
Friday, 03 June 16
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SLIDES 1.3% - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 11.5 million short tons (mm ...
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Coal Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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