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Wednesday, 30 March 16
VALEMAXES: THE BIGGEST NIGHTMARE OF TODAY'S DRY BULK MARKET - INTERMODAL
 At a time that Europe is still dealing with the aftermath of the terrorist attacks in Brussels our society is daily bombarded with news of terrorist-related acts in every corner of the world. While it is by no means the purpose of this column to cover such issues, it is hard to ignore the effects of such events upon our societies or the uncertainty they enforce upon the world economy –including shipping- that still fights with its own nightmares.
Let’s take the Valemaxes for example; the biggest nightmare of today’s dry bulk market.
At a time that sentiment and hard facts could not look any dimmer, it is with extreme numbness that markets received the news that Chinese shipping majors Cosco Group, China Merchants Group and ICBC Financial Leasing Co. have placed orders for 30 giant Valemax vessels that worth a combined $2.5 billion. The exact number of vessels on order varies according to different reports and whilst deliveries look set to commence in 2018, no one knows the exact schedule that has been agreed with the 4 Chinese yards that have agreed to undertake this ambitious project.
If we are to state the obvious, there is no denying that such move –originally designed to increase China’s grip on the supply side of iron ore- would put further pressure on independent shipowners amidst one of the longest ever downturns ever witnessed on the dry sector. However, instead over-dramatizing the situation let’s start looking for a silver lining in this mighty dark cloud...
Regardless of regulations about Tier III, WBTS and other emission regulations coming into forces, which surely have been accounted for into cost calculations, Vale and their partners should be taking into consideration that scrapping age for capes has already approached the 15year mark. If we assume a moderate renewal plan in place for the “overage” VLOC’s as well, then the table above will indicate that situation might not drastically worsen by the gradual introduction of VLOC’s over the next 3 years.
On the other hand, demand for coal and coal transportation –to be more specific- is on a negative trail and the importance of iron ore as a cargo is becoming integral to all cape owners/operators; hence, we expect the fight to be even harder between Capes and VLOC’s. Should Vale and their Chinese counterparts expect to see some sense out of this market, they should first ensure that scrapping intensifies and they stay true to the one principle that we need to hold for the next 3 years; NEGATIVE fleet growth.
By Christos Trageas
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 18 April 16
INDONESIAN 5000 GAR COAL INDEX DECLINE 1.43 PERCENT WEEK OVER WEEK - CS (I) COAL INDEX
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin fell 1.43 percent week over week to averaging $38.65 per ton on this past Friday, ac ...
Monday, 18 April 16
SOUTH KOREA STATE-OWNED UTILITY KOMIPO INVITES COAL BIDS FOR BORYEONG POWER PLANT
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender for 70,000 Metric Tons of 4,600 kcal/kg NAR coal for ...
Monday, 18 April 16
SOUTH AFRICA RB1 COAL HAS LOST GROUND IN INDIA; RB2 MAY LOSE GRIP IF THE PRICE CROSSES US$ 50 A TON - TRADERS
COALspot.com: Indian coal consumers preferred to buy South Africa RB2 coal instead of RB1 coal recent months due to RB2's low CFR price level. ...
Monday, 18 April 16
CAPESIZE INDEX ROSE 44.66 PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued to rose this week.
The freight market was ...
Friday, 15 April 16
PANAMAX MARKET CONTINUES TO FIRM - FEARNLEYS
Cape
It has been a positive freight market for the past few weeks, however, this week the market is taking a small breather, says Fearnleys in it ...
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Coal Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
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